@IlSicario

#342,79140

0x402e4799e8728355ef0d856afe8adbb4bbc426e5

~15d· 81 markets · 405 tradesVol: $136,5682026-08-04 18:12:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (73/81)20/20
0.89x (win $205 / loss $231)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8190/15
Sortino -0.9190/10
$-0.0066 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 251 (81 markets)10/10
10/15 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 119% of peak ($164 / $138)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+39
DCA Master
Avg 5.0 entries/market
Consistent
10/15 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#66,351$195Vol: $125,415
🌤️ WEATHER#289,083$-155Vol: $11,149
📈 ECONOMICS#286,368$-0Vol: $2
💰 FINANCE#467,024$-1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,568
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
183B / 222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$39
Vol: $136,568

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
73W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$39
Win Rate
90%
73W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58 (1.4971838197644647% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?$11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$9
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$6
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$6
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?$-136
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 24?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?$-14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
265
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
23.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 502s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.5%

Sessions

#12
5/27/2026, 7:39:27 PM8 trades$1930 min
6/20/2026, 5:44:19 AM32 trades$1883 min
6/20/2026, 5:56:22 AM2 trades$1820 min
5/27/2026, 4:14:44 PM12 trades$1680 min
5/27/2026, 4:49:27 PM9 trades$1560 min
5/27/2026, 8:39:22 PM14 trades$1500 min
5/28/2026, 6:39:32 AM9 trades$1500 min
5/28/2026, 10:39:34 AM5 trades$1500 min
5/28/2026, 7:29:24 AM7 trades$1440 min
5/27/2026, 3:24:43 PM12 trades$1425 min
5/28/2026, 8:44:25 AM5 trades$1410 min
5/27/2026, 5:04:28 PM12 trades$1320 min
5/27/2026, 7:49:29 PM6 trades$990 min
5/28/2026, 5:27:05 AM3 trades$830 min
5/27/2026, 6:24:37 PM7 trades$800 min
5/27/2026, 2:44:31 PM4 trades$750 min
5/27/2026, 8:14:55 PM3 trades$750 min
5/28/2026, 5:09:36 AM5 trades$750 min
5/28/2026, 8:12:04 AM5 trades$750 min
5/28/2026, 8:59:58 AM4 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-28
06-14
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-27
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
46% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.5 / H99.5