@IronByte

#124,29554

0x9484894d67bcb61be2193791be72f09b7649a173

~150d· 620 markets · 3712 tradesVol: $254,0742026-08-04 22:11:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (139/619)0/20
1.24x (win $8,711 / loss $7,011)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.14015/15
Sortino 3.79210/10
$+0.0929 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 49 (619 markets)10/10
49/133 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($619 / $1,743)6.9/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+427
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#5,515$874Vol: $193,976
🌤️ WEATHER#294,706$-413Vol: $50,331
CRYPTO#1,391,316$-51Vol: $9,016
🏛️ POLITICS#142,790$17Vol: $750

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,074
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
620
total markets
Trades
2232B / 1480S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $1,509
Month
$32
Vol: $2,616
All Time
$427
Vol: $254,074

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
139W / 480L events
Realized PnL
$427
Win Rate
22%
139W / 480L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,212 (2.8402642738326733% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$512
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15?$386
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$314
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$284
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$266
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?$262
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$253
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$244
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$222
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$219

Top Losers

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-136
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$-107
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-101
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 11?$-93
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-90
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 16?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 27?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.203
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.6%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)12.5%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 10:11:06 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/16/2026, 11:11:30 AM110 trades$90127 min
6/13/2026, 4:54:22 PM24 trades$7226 min
4/7/2026, 3:57:31 PM4 trades$6151 min
4/3/2026, 4:03:39 PM2 trades$5990 min
6/10/2026, 11:42:54 AM47 trades$5732 min
6/19/2026, 6:43:52 PM18 trades$5672 min
6/15/2026, 8:48:12 AM7 trades$5051 min
2/11/2026, 1:57:25 PM11 trades$50312 min
2/11/2026, 2:45:03 PM17 trades$49017 min
5/4/2026, 6:03:10 PM10 trades$4434 min
4/28/2026, 4:33:38 PM2 trades$4000 min
4/18/2026, 6:19:20 PM17 trades$3841 min
6/13/2026, 8:56:24 AM32 trades$37012 min
4/24/2026, 2:18:36 PM46 trades$3373 min
6/14/2026, 12:01:52 AM33 trades$32310 min
6/18/2026, 5:08:26 PM2 trades$3220 min
5/15/2026, 2:25:21 AM12 trades$3183 min
2/9/2026, 6:08:07 PM13 trades$31312 min
6/25/2026, 4:22:59 PM2 trades$3030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-13
03-07
03-30
05-11
06-17
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.6 / M23 / H12.5