@Irrawaddy82Falcons

#2,240,7529

0x1c4779e64ab3ec29721e22c43e2ca6d2ae654641

~10d· 30 markets · 116 tradesVol: $14,4132026-08-05 18:49:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (8/28)0/20
0.76x (win $298 / loss $391)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4570/15
Sortino -4.8580/10
$-0.1756 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 763 (28 markets)8.7/10
2/10 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 604% of peak ($111 / $18)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,521,978$-30Vol: $10,703
🎭 CULTURE#622,806$-4Vol: $3,710

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,413
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
36B / 80S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
8W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-34
Win Rate
29%
8W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $206 (6.126412849494349% of PnL)

Top Winners

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers$99
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals$73
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals$34
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$32
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$23
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies$18

Top Losers

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds$-97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$-96
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$-80
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs$-21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics$-19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-15
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers$-15
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.221
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
642
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2472s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.68
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.6%
Mid (20-55c)58.3%
High (>55c)11.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 5:25:38 PM2 trades$1140 min
6/11/2026, 1:36:40 PM5 trades$1100 min
6/15/2026, 1:10:16 PM2 trades$800 min
6/11/2026, 2:15:24 PM2 trades$770 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:20 PM2 trades$760 min
6/11/2026, 2:53:57 PM2 trades$540 min
6/16/2026, 11:08:45 AM3 trades$540 min
6/12/2026, 9:14:07 AM2 trades$520 min
6/12/2026, 9:31:55 AM2 trades$440 min
6/15/2026, 12:37:21 PM2 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 2:09:36 PM2 trades$400 min
6/13/2026, 12:13:21 PM2 trades$300 min
6/12/2026, 10:39:34 AM2 trades$290 min
6/16/2026, 7:24:25 PM2 trades$240 min
6/12/2026, 6:00:43 PM2 trades$240 min
6/19/2026, 3:56:05 PM2 trades$210 min
6/18/2026, 12:16:59 PM2 trades$210 min
6/13/2026, 4:49:13 PM2 trades$200 min
6/13/2026, 4:19:13 PM2 trades$200 min
6/15/2026, 1:39:28 PM2 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-19
06-25
06-26
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.68/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.6 / M58.3 / H11.1