@JMS1
#466,778680xa5f10b7255c09f87b92c83ef0095c65eeb89572a
~22d· 45 markets · 114 tradesVol: $15,6542026-08-04 17:19:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (18/38)8.7/20
1.45x (win $1,274 / loss $877)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.83715/15
Sortino 5.72210/10
$+0.0847 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 711 (38 markets)8.9/10
11/17 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($370 / $767)4.4/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+13
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Consistent
11/17 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#44,100$204Vol: $14,621
📢 MENTIONS#165,641$-119Vol: $856
💰 FINANCE#626,024$-72Vol: $177
Overview
#1Net PnL
$13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,654
Total Redeem
$540
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
64B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-23
Vol: $0
All Time
$13
Vol: $15,654
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
18W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
47%
18W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.45x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-44
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $874 (68.37372947615324% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$385
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$377
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$113
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$88
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$85
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$54
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$39
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$30
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$22
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$15
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-220
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-120
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-100
Will the US strike Iran next?$-100
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$-89
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?$-58
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-50
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$-24
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-20
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.144
Sortino
0.240
HHI
564
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
41.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)39.1%
Sessions
#121/3/2026, 4:40:23 PM7 trades$55111 min
4/6/2026, 1:12:43 PM26 trades$54810 min
3/19/2026, 4:09:51 PM1 trades$3870 min
1/4/2026, 5:18:03 AM1 trades$3850 min
5/23/2026, 9:48:50 AM2 trades$3330 min
9/1/2025, 4:46:34 PM3 trades$3252 min
12/9/2025, 5:49:48 PM1 trades$3130 min
1/14/2026, 2:10:54 PM2 trades$2972 min
3/19/2026, 5:05:43 PM2 trades$2872 min
4/6/2026, 1:03:21 PM2 trades$2710 min
10/29/2025, 4:22:01 AM3 trades$2472 min
4/13/2026, 3:20:37 PM2 trades$2390 min
4/1/2026, 5:55:53 PM5 trades$2390 min
4/12/2026, 4:55:55 AM5 trades$2380 min
9/1/2025, 4:34:26 PM2 trades$2201 min
3/1/2026, 1:57:37 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/14/2026, 1:58:54 PM3 trades$1985 min
3/1/2026, 3:05:35 PM1 trades$1950 min
7/9/2026, 1:29:29 AM8 trades$1780 min
10/29/2025, 5:33:33 AM2 trades$1630 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
10-29
01-03
01-14
03-01
04-01
04-07
04-12
04-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.2 / M29.7 / H39.1