@JayOfe

#2,786,54763

0x5b64597ebe798dac3b14e94e9915e795a93db53d

~16d· 26 markets · 139 tradesVol: $5,1752026-08-06 07:54:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (12/22)12.3/20
1.40x (win $691 / loss $495)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.86315/15
Sortino 7.42710/10
$+0.1151 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 612 (22 markets)9.4/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($135 / $216)1.5/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-307
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,175
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
41B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
12W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-307
Win Rate
55%
12W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $301 (0.979307198487959% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$129
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$92
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$80
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$69
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$52
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$49
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$44
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$36
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$29

Top Losers

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-300
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-76
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$-60
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-18
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$-14
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-10
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?$-10
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$-4
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.193
Sortino
0.364
HHI
500
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
39.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2509s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)53.7%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 4:14:43 AM2 trades$3420 min
5/16/2026, 10:18:56 AM10 trades$3372 min
6/10/2026, 12:03:45 AM5 trades$2140 min
6/13/2026, 11:19:06 AM5 trades$2033 min
5/16/2026, 8:28:47 PM7 trades$1880 min
5/29/2026, 8:35:12 PM7 trades$1861 min
6/10/2026, 10:15:10 PM3 trades$1310 min
5/29/2026, 8:12:51 PM6 trades$1260 min
7/2/2026, 8:43:05 AM5 trades$1260 min
5/30/2026, 9:53:52 AM4 trades$1080 min
5/30/2026, 7:03:36 PM3 trades$1040 min
6/12/2026, 12:56:01 PM8 trades$1010 min
6/10/2026, 1:11:10 AM9 trades$990 min
7/17/2026, 4:46:49 AM2 trades$860 min
6/10/2026, 12:23:54 AM8 trades$850 min
5/16/2026, 10:53:43 PM8 trades$834 min
5/16/2026, 7:47:45 PM2 trades$820 min
7/2/2026, 10:57:29 PM3 trades$800 min
6/30/2026, 4:50:07 PM4 trades$710 min
7/2/2026, 3:16:56 PM4 trades$670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-29
05-30
06-10
06-12
07-02
07-06
07-10
07-11
07-17
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M31.7 / H53.7