JesseLivermore95

@JesseLivermore95

#144,64079

0x4cf7f0a097dea9cbbd6f326a1ac89645fc20c86c

~44d· 88 markets · 453 tradesVol: $56,5562026-08-04 23:03:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (41/83)9.7/20
4.38x (win $1,760 / loss $402)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.06515/15
Sortino 28.24410/10
$+0.0385 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 653 (83 markets)9.2/10
11/18 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($231 / $1,358)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+305
Consistent
11/18 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#50,789$346Vol: $47,441
SPORTS#1,590,883$-50Vol: $8,660

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$305
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$56,556
Total Redeem
$111
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
286B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $24
Week
$105
Vol: $47
Month
$188
Vol: $72
All Time
$305
Vol: $56,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
41W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$305
Win Rate
49%
41W / 42L
Profit Factor
4.38x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $708 (2.323264823691641% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$325
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$203
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$180
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$164
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$142
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$126
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$96
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$66
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$60
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$58

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-216
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-106
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage$-13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-3
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$-3
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.359
Sortino
0.949
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 649s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)8%
High (>55c)86.4%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 7:11:35 PM1 trades$3,6360 min
6/27/2026, 4:37:38 AM5 trades$3,1231 min
6/24/2026, 12:13:17 AM4 trades$3,0934 min
6/26/2026, 4:38:28 AM3 trades$2,9400 min
6/27/2026, 10:16:43 PM1 trades$2,3850 min
6/21/2026, 10:43:50 AM4 trades$1,5480 min
6/29/2026, 1:43:25 PM1 trades$1,2920 min
6/24/2026, 10:45:43 PM27 trades$1,2362 min
6/29/2026, 8:12:35 AM3 trades$1,1690 min
5/30/2026, 1:51:08 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
6/7/2026, 9:38:12 AM2 trades$9972 min
6/16/2026, 6:33:03 AM4 trades$9754 min
6/15/2026, 7:43:27 AM2 trades$9671 min
7/24/2026, 4:53:51 AM1 trades$8690 min
6/25/2026, 2:33:26 PM1 trades$7560 min
6/20/2026, 1:33:53 PM2 trades$6691 min
6/15/2026, 8:40:13 AM1 trades$6540 min
6/14/2026, 11:25:34 PM1 trades$6500 min
6/23/2026, 3:00:11 AM2 trades$5100 min
6/7/2026, 7:46:10 PM1 trades$4700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-27
03-30
05-01
06-23
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M8 / H86.4