@JinWater3

#3,056,06842

0x07295e8e3f1dc42a6bdcb5e8c93c954bd3885f54

~177d· 2437 markets · 33430 tradesVol: $1,161,1302026-08-05 17:28:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (2090/2437)20/20
0.94x (win $37,383 / loss $39,818)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6490/15
Sortino -0.7900/10
$-0.0056 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 15 (2437 markets)10/10
119/170 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($6,476 / $3,824)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 86%
DCA Master
Avg 13.7 entries/market
Whale
$435,904 invested
Consistent
119/170 profitable days
High Roller
$1,786/day
Win Streak
55 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#299,506$-7,306Vol: $1,009,064
CRYPTO#1,608,109$-742Vol: $86,934
🎭 CULTURE#43,892$26Vol: $64,930
💰 FINANCE#399,031$-0Vol: $202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,022
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,161,130
Total Redeem
$11,822
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2437
total markets
Trades
15733B / 17697S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~177d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$83
Vol: $2,744
Month
$-7
Vol: $4,561
All Time
$-8,022
Vol: $1,161,130

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
2090W / 347L events
Realized PnL
$-8,022
Win Rate
86%
2090W / 347L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,544 (0.1924069819766478% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?$535
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?$528
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?$481
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$427
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?$407
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?$372
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$372
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?$362
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?$351
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?$349

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?$-1,746
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$-1,569
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?$-1,393
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$-1,091
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$-1,065
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$-810
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$-792
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$-790
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$-757
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$-738

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
8.3%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
137.0
Very active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.2m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock137 trades/day — automation10.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 3:45:21 PM87 trades$5,29174 min
4/2/2026, 1:51:03 AM150 trades$5,00225 min
3/1/2026, 1:36:55 AM47 trades$3,87047 min
2/26/2026, 1:51:48 AM19 trades$3,68915 min
4/3/2026, 6:09:49 AM37 trades$3,20011 min
4/2/2026, 2:30:25 AM61 trades$2,2816 min
4/1/2026, 5:19:49 AM175 trades$2,26435 min
3/23/2026, 5:48:23 AM61 trades$2,23148 min
3/15/2026, 6:06:25 AM24 trades$2,2009 min
7/28/2026, 1:48:43 AM97 trades$2,17615 min
3/2/2026, 1:09:53 AM26 trades$2,15315 min
5/3/2026, 10:57:50 PM80 trades$2,1218 min
3/24/2026, 4:22:21 AM60 trades$2,10426 min
3/4/2026, 9:51:13 AM42 trades$2,02833 min
3/1/2026, 2:50:35 AM7 trades$1,9949 min
3/12/2026, 3:20:37 AM19 trades$1,97222 min
3/17/2026, 3:21:17 AM8 trades$1,9237 min
6/14/2026, 3:27:45 AM122 trades$1,85131 min
3/17/2026, 4:13:43 AM2 trades$1,8250 min
4/29/2026, 12:48:06 AM20 trades$1,7967 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-02
03-01
04-04
05-19
06-29
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M3.7 / H94.2