@JohnnySilverhand2077

#3,007,25511

0x1771126b1984de56e2a1efc2f7d33be46b0b6796

~37d· 60 markets · 400 tradesVol: $294,4792026-08-04 16:21:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (23/57)5.2/20
0.15x (win $1,706 / loss $11,659)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.4150/15
Sortino -7.7540/10
$-0.4560 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1364 (57 markets)5.7/10
7/23 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($9,953 / $0)0/10

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,769,879$-310Vol: $200,556
₿ CRYPTO#28,261$1,143Vol: $35,579
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,535$-1,409Vol: $29,433
🎭 CULTURE#806,142$-525Vol: $12,766
📈 ECONOMICS#675,912$-504Vol: $10,292
💻 TECH#254,122$-267Vol: $3,736
💰 FINANCE#648,675$-337Vol: $1,528

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,315
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$294,479
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
147B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $1,435
Week
$3
Vol: $1,435
Month
$-3
Vol: $1,435
All Time
$-2,315
Vol: $294,479

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
23W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-2,315
Win Rate
40%
23W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$74
Avg Loss
$-376

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $644 (0.2781324234440461% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$249
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$220
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$175
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$173
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET$162
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$140
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$86
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$81
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$69

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,872
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,561
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,104
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-554
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-521
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$-453
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-438
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-433
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-404
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$-348

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.431
Sortino
-0.379
HHI
5378
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.290
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
69.5%
Top-5 markets
108.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.58
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)50.3%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 10:12:13 AM55 trades$9,4362 min
6/1/2026, 3:02:17 PM7 trades$5,3980 min
6/1/2026, 5:08:01 PM1 trades$2,9880 min
6/4/2026, 6:44:07 AM4 trades$2,6510 min
6/18/2026, 11:15:08 AM10 trades$2,0263 min
6/10/2026, 12:34:40 PM14 trades$1,9930 min
6/17/2026, 12:57:34 PM5 trades$1,8911 min
3/4/2026, 2:32:15 PM6 trades$1,4941 min
6/19/2026, 2:05:44 PM2 trades$1,3700 min
6/18/2026, 10:58:35 AM4 trades$1,1930 min
6/1/2026, 12:13:24 PM10 trades$1,1824 min
8/4/2026, 11:18:41 AM13 trades$8600 min
6/1/2026, 12:43:11 PM6 trades$8271 min
6/17/2026, 10:51:34 AM4 trades$6940 min
6/18/2026, 11:05:13 AM9 trades$5984 min
6/5/2026, 7:07:54 PM6 trades$5961 min
6/18/2026, 8:53:20 PM1 trades$5620 min
6/1/2026, 12:50:55 PM2 trades$5040 min
7/13/2026, 2:38:32 PM8 trades$4741 min
7/14/2026, 3:35:46 PM8 trades$4620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-15
03-21
05-20
06-04
06-18
07-15
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.5 / M25.2 / H50.3