@Joziauspredict

#2,176,25775

0x02369fd10d1285a9666f4aa6d5f96233c36b8124

~12d· 20 markets · 66 tradesVol: $2,2132026-08-04 20:09:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (8/20)5/20
2.06x (win $298 / loss $144)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.35915/15
Sortino 19.87510/10
$+0.2848 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1048 (20 markets)7.3/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($52 / $205)9/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 25%

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#733,863$-24Vol: $1,274
⚽ SPORTS#1,337,194$-10Vol: $343
₿ CRYPTO#219,013$12Vol: $189
🏛️ POLITICS#1,296,633$-11Vol: $182
💰 FINANCE#136,040$1Vol: $139
🌤️ WEATHER#31,613$5Vol: $85

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,213
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
30B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-27
Vol: $2,213

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
8W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
40%
8W / 12L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (8.24981549815498% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$90
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$45
O/U 2.5 Rounds$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$18
O/U 1.5 Rounds$18
Fight to Go the Distance?$13
O/U 2.5 Rounds$3

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-40
Fight to Go the Distance?$-20
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$-20
O/U 1.5 Rounds$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-10
O/U 3.5 Rounds$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-4
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.363
Sortino
1.009
HHI
2304
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.1%
Top-5 markets
94.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
77%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1304s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)77% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)63.3%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 2:45:55 PM4 trades$1001 min
5/15/2026, 1:09:48 AM2 trades$790 min
5/19/2026, 1:06:13 AM2 trades$780 min
5/14/2026, 6:05:17 PM2 trades$700 min
6/8/2026, 2:16:31 AM9 trades$6912 min
5/15/2026, 8:21:09 PM2 trades$630 min
6/15/2026, 12:02:33 AM2 trades$570 min
7/15/2026, 2:02:59 AM3 trades$570 min
6/15/2026, 1:21:00 AM4 trades$545 min
5/27/2026, 7:05:09 PM3 trades$520 min
5/19/2026, 1:27:57 AM2 trades$520 min
5/26/2026, 12:12:48 PM2 trades$520 min
7/16/2026, 12:03:11 AM3 trades$450 min
5/10/2026, 1:27:01 AM3 trades$403 min
6/15/2026, 12:42:46 AM2 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 1:03:33 AM1 trades$290 min
6/15/2026, 2:44:54 AM4 trades$290 min
5/10/2026, 4:09:11 AM2 trades$200 min
5/9/2026, 9:59:49 PM2 trades$160 min
6/8/2026, 2:42:31 AM4 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-10
05-15
05-19
05-26
05-28
06-08
06-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M23.3 / H63.3