@JuicedBunched
#49,395670x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
~195d· 317 markets · 2224 tradesVol: $443,5652026-08-05 01:03:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (141/287)9.6/20
1.43x (win $45,378 / loss $31,707)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.23115/15
Sortino 3.40210/10
$+0.0871 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 296 (287 markets)10/10
62/124 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($7,580 / $17,605)5.4/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+2,146
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Whale
$156,909 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,130$-3,788Vol: $215,747
💰 FINANCE#650,283$-513Vol: $100,532
💻 TECH#522$3,535Vol: $82,530
📈 ECONOMICS#1,829$2,232Vol: $30,914
🎭 CULTURE#10,920$299Vol: $6,199
₿ CRYPTO#43,439$495Vol: $5,391
⚽ SPORTS#1,168,908$-4Vol: $672
🌤️ WEATHER#26,486$7Vol: $487
📢 MENTIONS#156,627$-50Vol: $54
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$443,565
Total Redeem
$777
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
317
total markets
Trades
1475B / 749S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d
Periods
#2Today
$84
Vol: $0
Week
$53
Vol: $800
Month
$221
Vol: $800
All Time
$2,146
Vol: $443,565
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
141W / 146L events
Realized PnL
$2,146
Win Rate
49%
141W / 146L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$322
Avg Loss
$-225
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,004 (10.251658622039173% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9,820
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6,641
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5,543
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,429
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1,201
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,014
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$860
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$851
Will the US strike Somalia next?$827
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$806
Top Losers
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-4,172
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-2,048
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-2,016
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-1,939
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,819
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,768
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-1,686
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,420
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-1,186
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$-795
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.137
HHI
378
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
32.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)43.8%
Sessions
#122/3/2026, 6:57:56 PM1 trades$8,5860 min
4/16/2026, 7:46:36 PM18 trades$7,4901 min
5/8/2026, 8:33:30 AM17 trades$6,4238 min
4/24/2026, 7:06:48 PM23 trades$4,9588 min
11/14/2025, 9:01:34 AM6 trades$4,9418 min
6/15/2026, 8:32:36 PM16 trades$4,5132 min
4/24/2026, 7:50:58 AM4 trades$4,0000 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:01 AM2 trades$3,6300 min
6/16/2026, 7:10:42 AM34 trades$3,6217 min
12/16/2025, 7:50:03 AM2 trades$3,6092 min
12/3/2025, 8:38:29 AM1 trades$3,5340 min
11/18/2025, 2:37:45 PM3 trades$3,5322 min
4/23/2026, 10:30:16 AM6 trades$3,4964 min
1/26/2026, 9:48:23 AM2 trades$3,2753 min
4/11/2026, 8:02:13 AM17 trades$3,2163 min
12/17/2025, 9:08:21 AM1 trades$3,1110 min
2/19/2026, 9:09:56 AM36 trades$2,93234 min
1/7/2026, 8:35:31 AM8 trades$2,7737 min
1/31/2026, 2:41:40 PM1 trades$2,7180 min
2/3/2026, 8:37:06 AM7 trades$2,62315 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
10-21
12-22
01-31
03-04
05-08
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 120 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M34.4 / H43.8