@KCWATER

#3,070,08316

0x595df4e07dc17328345e381768726ecfafcb9ad0

~21d· 202 markets · 2264 tradesVol: $1,823,8362026-08-04 15:18:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (76/201)3.9/20
0.75x (win $283,115 / loss $379,200)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0010/15
Sortino -5.1790/10
$-0.1645 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 149 (201 markets)10/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 1937% of peak ($108,421 / $5,598)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$584,239 invested
High Roller
$26,556/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,881,737$-35,119Vol: $1,823,836

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,823,836
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
202
total markets
Trades
523B / 1741S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35,119
Vol: $1,823,836

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
76W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$-35,119
Win Rate
38%
76W / 125L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$3,725
Avg Loss
$-3,134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,441 (0.9807145261237187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$12,024
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$11,739
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$10,678
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$9,945
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox$9,130
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$8,892
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$8,000
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$7,262
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6,484
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$6,315

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-20,978
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-20,000
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-19,480
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-15,308
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$-12,330
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-12,191
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-12,000
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$-11,753
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-10,296
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5$-10,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.252
HHI
153
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.157
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
16.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
102.9
Very active
Markets / Day
9.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.5m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity103 trades/day — automation9.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)48%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 12:37:43 AM86 trades$66,5573 min
6/13/2026, 12:48:42 AM37 trades$44,4836 min
6/12/2026, 11:53:16 PM66 trades$41,8228 min
6/24/2026, 11:42:50 PM27 trades$35,0998 min
6/14/2026, 5:38:37 PM49 trades$32,80721 min
6/14/2026, 6:12:34 PM44 trades$30,8827 min
6/13/2026, 12:28:18 AM21 trades$30,2033 min
6/14/2026, 7:01:27 PM4 trades$29,3880 min
6/23/2026, 8:52:49 PM20 trades$28,7573 min
6/13/2026, 1:14:28 AM37 trades$25,2611 min
6/14/2026, 8:39:43 PM16 trades$24,3281 min
6/25/2026, 1:41:19 AM41 trades$20,3432 min
6/13/2026, 9:46:15 PM9 trades$19,8594 min
6/13/2026, 1:29:06 AM6 trades$19,0700 min
6/15/2026, 6:04:58 PM16 trades$19,0186 min
6/25/2026, 10:08:22 PM11 trades$18,6221 min
6/13/2026, 1:55:10 AM27 trades$18,5155 min
6/13/2026, 2:24:57 AM11 trades$18,0314 min
6/13/2026, 8:31:03 PM24 trades$17,5940 min
6/14/2026, 6:40:34 PM28 trades$17,4932 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-15
06-18
06-21
06-24
06-27
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M27.3 / H48