Kacatta

@Kacatta

#35,84459

0x5154aa7f777491e56cd639a08034175e6cd2a301

~115d· 222 markets · 1303 tradesVol: $105,5762026-08-04 16:21:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (86/202)6.3/20
1.28x (win $6,485 / loss $5,067)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.98515/15
Sortino 3.28110/10
$+0.1018 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 174 (202 markets)10/10
44/76 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($1,403 / $1,431)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+3,229
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#1,996$2,520Vol: $83,556
CRYPTO#32,507$892Vol: $21,144
🏛️ POLITICS#1,563,042$-203Vol: $659
🌤️ WEATHER#15,287$23Vol: $192
SPORTS#1,130,335$-3Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,229
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,576
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
627B / 676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$34
Vol: $697
Week
$469
Vol: $5,271
Month
$818
Vol: $6,157
All Time
$3,229
Vol: $105,576

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
86W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$3,229
Win Rate
43%
86W / 116L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,456 (0.4508898428450193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$522
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$481
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?$453
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$259
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$240
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in July?$237
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of July 27 2026?$231
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of July 27 2026?$230
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?$219
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in July?$216

Top Losers

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?$-501
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$-302
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of July 27 2026?$-208
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-203
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$-199
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?$-198
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$-191
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of July 27 2026?$-189
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 13 2026?$-174
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of July 27 2026?$-172

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.103
Sortino
0.137
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 738s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)53.7%

Sessions

#12
3/21/2025, 4:08:00 AM1 trades$8840 min
12/19/2024, 1:18:52 AM3 trades$8663 min
11/11/2024, 2:17:01 PM16 trades$80213 min
7/30/2026, 1:30:03 PM17 trades$7264 min
7/27/2026, 1:30:03 PM24 trades$6852 min
3/23/2025, 7:37:45 AM4 trades$5688 min
7/20/2026, 1:30:07 PM27 trades$5607 min
12/19/2024, 1:27:24 AM1 trades$4950 min
7/26/2026, 10:00:06 PM14 trades$4553 min
11/29/2024, 7:46:11 AM5 trades$4214 min
7/31/2026, 11:54:35 PM4 trades$3970 min
7/28/2026, 3:27:28 PM14 trades$3744 min
7/28/2026, 1:30:04 PM26 trades$36812 min
8/2/2026, 9:54:33 PM7 trades$3307 min
11/13/2024, 4:03:03 PM1 trades$3000 min
12/2/2024, 5:01:30 PM2 trades$2972 min
7/24/2026, 1:55:42 PM2 trades$2970 min
3/21/2025, 4:02:56 AM1 trades$2950 min
12/5/2024, 3:37:32 PM2 trades$2782 min
11/29/2024, 8:37:56 PM1 trades$2700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-25
12-21
05-04
06-06
06-23
07-18
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M38.3 / H53.7