@KairoNexus

#3,038,92566

0x4bf350d8d6fc4de0bd482ad82b71ebe60245369d

~19d· 65 markets · 764 tradesVol: $122,7252026-08-04 14:07:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (52/59)20/20
1.14x (win $5,716 / loss $5,031)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.66912.5/15
Sortino 0.8258.2/10
$+0.0203 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 406 (59 markets)10/10
24/28 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 509% of peak ($3,486 / $685)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 88%
DCA Master
Avg 12.2 entries/market
Consistent
24/28 profitable days
High Roller
$1,536/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#298,178$-1,383Vol: $55,655
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,543$-2,191Vol: $53,445
⚽ SPORTS#1,563,918$-41Vol: $5,486
💰 FINANCE#654,405$-1,114Vol: $3,441
🎭 CULTURE#776,769$-87Vol: $2,487
📈 ECONOMICS#6,618$290Vol: $1,710
💻 TECH#10,239$35Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,725
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
222B / 542S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-297
Vol: $1,045
Week
$-480
Vol: $5,106
Month
$-1,252
Vol: $7,500
All Time
$-4,491
Vol: $122,725

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
51W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-4,229
Win Rate
88%
51W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-839

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,685 (0.6348414096395512% of PnL)

Top Winners

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$1,945
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$393
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$347
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$315
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$279
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$181
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$181
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$174
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$148
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?$117

Top Losers

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?$-2,763
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-1,041
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-876
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$-221
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-67
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$-63

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.022
HHI
327
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
10.8%
Half-Kelly
5.4%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency3.0 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)96.8%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 12:28:20 PM3 trades$3,0900 min
7/15/2026, 10:39:32 AM10 trades$2,5680 min
7/14/2026, 8:02:38 PM23 trades$2,0104 min
7/15/2026, 8:33:10 AM17 trades$1,9541 min
8/1/2026, 10:55:33 AM2 trades$1,8600 min
7/13/2026, 4:47:23 PM6 trades$1,8200 min
7/16/2026, 7:48:20 AM6 trades$1,5990 min
7/16/2026, 7:39:29 AM51 trades$1,5353 min
7/30/2026, 8:06:41 AM10 trades$1,4744 min
7/13/2026, 12:39:08 PM13 trades$1,2691 min
7/14/2026, 11:18:29 PM17 trades$1,1833 min
7/13/2026, 4:18:26 PM7 trades$1,0910 min
7/30/2026, 8:28:42 AM8 trades$1,0440 min
7/30/2026, 12:30:11 PM5 trades$1,0220 min
7/16/2026, 2:29:08 PM14 trades$9063 min
7/14/2026, 10:46:35 PM9 trades$8800 min
7/16/2026, 8:00:56 AM30 trades$83911 min
7/21/2026, 12:27:13 AM7 trades$7811 min
7/24/2026, 7:25:33 AM10 trades$7774 min
7/30/2026, 4:54:51 AM8 trades$7660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-12-31 12:00:00
2026-07-14 23:59:00
2026-07-17 12:00:00
2026-07-21 23:59:00
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2026-07-29 23:59:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
46% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M1.8 / H96.8