@Kairos1992

#3,037,54211

0xc23a33f1ee629e89023571ffd2ce50ac02753e2b

~79d· 318 markets · 5143 tradesVol: $892,5572026-08-04 20:05:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (127/317)5/20
0.86x (win $33,582 / loss $38,825)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3450/15
Sortino -1.8450/10
$-0.0242 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2274 (317 markets)1.1/10
32/68 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($12,129 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Whale
$216,731 invested
High Roller
$2,330/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#17,336$1,056Vol: $513,091
SPORTS#1,761,529$-265Vol: $186,808
🎭 CULTURE#814,251$-2,401Vol: $102,642
🌤️ WEATHER#298,223$-1,417Vol: $65,909
💻 TECH#257,014$-768Vol: $9,605
CRYPTO#1,594,496$-546Vol: $8,524
💰 FINANCE#15,394$136Vol: $5,736
📢 MENTIONS#155,374$-47Vol: $242

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,252
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$892,557
Total Redeem
$338
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
318
total markets
Trades
934B / 4209S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
127W / 190L events
Realized PnL
$-4,252
Win Rate
40%
127W / 190L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$264
Avg Loss
$-211

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,488 (1.9963049726459785% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,503
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$1,653
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,331
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$1,138
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?$1,094
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,079
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$865
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$787
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$755
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$694

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-4,262
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-2,103
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,629
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-1,384
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,105
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,004
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-906
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$-860
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-783
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?$-744

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
12915
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
25.4%
Half-Kelly
12.7%
Top-1 market
113.6%
Top-5 markets
118.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
17.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 992s — normal for humanCV 17.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading3.4 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:50:15 AM2 trades$121,7220 min
4/12/2026, 9:28:29 AM1522 trades$57,2863 min
4/8/2026, 9:27:33 AM2 trades$35,0000 min
5/30/2026, 6:29:55 PM4 trades$20,0000 min
4/25/2026, 9:13:32 PM29 trades$10,0000 min
4/8/2026, 8:04:53 AM2 trades$9,5000 min
4/24/2026, 6:53:08 PM22 trades$9,0005 min
4/13/2026, 8:23:53 PM17 trades$6,6610 min
5/7/2026, 9:45:06 PM49 trades$6,5924 min
6/21/2026, 10:42:13 PM24 trades$4,76313 min
5/2/2026, 9:28:02 PM20 trades$4,4171 min
4/30/2026, 8:02:26 AM42 trades$4,06811 min
5/2/2026, 3:36:16 PM71 trades$3,8044 min
4/25/2026, 9:07:28 PM3 trades$3,6440 min
5/24/2026, 10:15:26 PM8 trades$3,5090 min
6/20/2026, 6:50:14 PM4 trades$3,4380 min
5/2/2026, 2:54:46 PM2 trades$3,2970 min
5/1/2026, 4:06:52 PM5 trades$2,8910 min
4/29/2026, 5:39:06 PM23 trades$2,8226 min
4/26/2026, 9:24:48 AM4 trades$2,6440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-27
05-08
05-22
06-11
06-23
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
81.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.3 / M26.6 / H45.2