@Karl2026

#2,265,4330

0xd72570f89a2e1e32f6ae8dc88b4304582842072f

~12d· 19 markets · 80 tradesVol: $1,7592026-08-04 21:04:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.04x (win $2 / loss $38)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1827 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2972 (11 markets)0/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($36 / $0)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,395,249$-24Vol: $1,664
🎭 CULTURE#153,745$1Vol: $45
📈 ECONOMICS#561,867$-4Vol: $25
📢 MENTIONS#129,065$-10Vol: $22
💰 FINANCE#218,584$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-37
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,759
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
38B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-37
Vol: $1,759

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-37
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.04274891774891775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0

Top Losers

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$-10
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-10
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$-10
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?$-6
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.900
Sortino
-0.970
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.384
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
37.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps6/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)78.9%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 8:40:18 AM5 trades$1070 min
5/14/2026, 1:04:34 AM11 trades$656 min
6/22/2026, 6:06:04 AM15 trades$6110 min
5/13/2026, 5:32:06 AM8 trades$521 min
5/2/2026, 8:16:34 AM6 trades$502 min
7/10/2026, 7:41:35 AM4 trades$320 min
5/8/2026, 7:20:31 AM3 trades$310 min
4/20/2026, 7:32:38 AM7 trades$264 min
5/13/2026, 7:32:17 AM4 trades$152 min
5/6/2026, 7:12:24 AM2 trades$110 min
5/7/2026, 5:11:13 AM2 trades$100 min
5/4/2026, 4:12:24 AM4 trades$91 min
5/11/2026, 4:58:22 AM3 trades$50 min
6/22/2026, 6:28:01 AM2 trades$40 min
5/4/2026, 4:21:06 AM2 trades$10 min
5/13/2026, 5:04:51 AM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
05-11
05-13
05-14
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M5.3 / H78.9