Katagirileo

@Katagirileo

#2,920,58239

0x0b379b8499bdc389ea1e2b118ba0511489bec799

~279d· 860 markets · 2397 tradesVol: $289,303 @katagiri_leo2026-08-05 05:00:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (620/851)20/20
0.78x (win $2,818 / loss $3,636)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2290/15
Sortino -1.5190/10
$-0.0144 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 64 (851 markets)10/10
162/252 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 592% of peak ($1,367 / $231)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Whale
$56,947 invested
Consistent
162/252 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,870$-108Vol: $176,066
💰 FINANCE#639,993$-165Vol: $30,092
CRYPTO#1,541,623$-215Vol: $22,052
🎭 CULTURE#675,956$-8Vol: $18,096
SPORTS#1,811,719$-690Vol: $16,375
💻 TECH#251,221$-133Vol: $15,012
📈 ECONOMICS#74,399$3Vol: $1,982
📢 MENTIONS#154,608$-43Vol: $1,396
🌤️ WEATHER#51,537$1Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-957
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$289,303
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
860
total markets
Trades
1510B / 887S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~279d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-957
Vol: $289,303

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
620W / 231L events
Realized PnL
$-957
Win Rate
73%
620W / 231L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $682 (0.7128560833185346% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?$509
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$89
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$85
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$81
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$73
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner$45
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?$43
Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?$40

Top Losers

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$-298
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?$-205
Will Ding Liren win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?$-169
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-149
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night$-145
Will Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?$-119
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-107
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-92
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?$-82
Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 954s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)81.7%

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 12:52:15 AM3 trades$1,0213 min
2/2/2026, 8:10:48 AM7 trades$1,0128 min
2/15/2026, 12:52:59 AM1 trades$9910 min
2/15/2026, 1:42:17 AM7 trades$8745 min
2/11/2026, 2:55:23 AM2 trades$8600 min
1/19/2026, 11:52:38 AM2 trades$8480 min
1/21/2026, 2:22:14 PM7 trades$8318 min
1/27/2026, 4:52:43 AM2 trades$8100 min
1/20/2026, 9:18:34 AM8 trades$7815 min
1/27/2026, 5:10:01 AM6 trades$7485 min
2/10/2026, 12:16:21 AM2 trades$7370 min
2/5/2026, 12:35:39 AM3 trades$7261 min
1/21/2026, 1:07:24 PM3 trades$7001 min
1/8/2026, 9:39:01 AM4 trades$6962 min
1/18/2026, 5:41:26 AM11 trades$6643 min
1/23/2026, 8:55:20 PM2 trades$6625 min
1/26/2026, 9:11:35 AM1 trades$6500 min
1/18/2026, 2:58:30 AM2 trades$6230 min
1/19/2026, 11:40:18 PM4 trades$6176 min
2/2/2026, 1:39:18 PM2 trades$6103 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
09-27
11-08
12-21
02-03
03-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 558 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M9.7 / H81.7