@KeithStarmer
#36,090650x7ae8b850049d07152b1741fbde10c7b6c0a45a42
~161d· 492 markets · 2204 tradesVol: $156,6632026-08-06 01:31:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (232/477)9.3/20
1.32x (win $10,107 / loss $7,630)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81815/15
Sortino 2.60110/10
$+0.0441 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 150 (477 markets)10/10
77/136 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($1,791 / $4,176)5.4/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+3,209
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$56,107 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#10,301$2,435Vol: $83,880
🌤️ WEATHER#5,125$182Vol: $42,062
⚽ SPORTS#39,960$929Vol: $15,939
₿ CRYPTO#1,435,005$-74Vol: $5,336
🎭 CULTURE#803,160$-370Vol: $3,790
💰 FINANCE#14,711$148Vol: $2,518
📈 ECONOMICS#34,797$14Vol: $2,439
💻 TECH#248,376$-86Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#11,811$31Vol: $300
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,663
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
492
total markets
Trades
1815B / 389S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $73
Week
$6
Vol: $6,261
Month
$185
Vol: $7,233
All Time
$3,209
Vol: $156,663
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
232W / 245L events
Realized PnL
$3,209
Win Rate
49%
232W / 245L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,968 (0.6132855954306227% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$762
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$701
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$506
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$462
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$378
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$360
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$324
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$276
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$268
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$237
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-832
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-712
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-692
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-367
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-353
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-336
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-311
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?$-280
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-210
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-183
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.102
HHI
227
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
25.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 802s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)41.7%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 12:01:00 PM2 trades$1,3830 min
4/25/2026, 4:27:50 PM22 trades$1,1871 min
4/6/2026, 4:31:41 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/1/2026, 3:05:36 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/17/2026, 8:06:31 AM1 trades$7490 min
6/15/2026, 2:46:09 PM7 trades$7428 min
7/17/2026, 7:49:16 AM3 trades$6480 min
7/8/2026, 7:31:20 AM2 trades$5630 min
7/8/2026, 9:29:47 AM4 trades$5583 min
8/3/2026, 10:57:36 AM1 trades$5580 min
7/16/2026, 4:12:38 AM1 trades$5500 min
5/7/2026, 6:31:15 AM15 trades$54315 min
4/28/2026, 7:16:26 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/16/2026, 1:03:18 PM6 trades$4780 min
7/21/2026, 8:43:07 PM2 trades$4640 min
6/4/2026, 6:08:57 PM1 trades$4510 min
5/1/2026, 10:23:42 AM8 trades$4497 min
6/11/2026, 1:48:58 PM5 trades$4469 min
4/30/2026, 6:04:56 AM4 trades$4314 min
7/10/2026, 2:04:40 PM7 trades$4214 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-27
03-28
04-30
06-06
06-29
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.9 / M11.4 / H41.7