@Kempster3

#2,488,2832

0xe5ef0da93d1f5bed6dbfc985e933ca173cf706d8

~8d· 10 markets · 41 tradesVol: $12,9492026-08-04 21:13:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (2/8)0/20
0.09x (win $35 / loss $412)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.3036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2093 (8 markets)2/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 1170% of peak ($412 / $35)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,449,176$-42Vol: $10,484
⚽ SPORTS#1,560,194$-39Vol: $2,466

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-82
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,949
Total Redeem
$405
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
25B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
2W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-82
Win Rate
25%
2W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-82

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (0.4304740957966764% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Clermont Foot 63 (-2.5)$32
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?$3

Top Losers

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$-159
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?$-155
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$-43
Spread: Greece (-2.5)$-37
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.764
Sortino
-1.097
HHI
2156
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.342
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
83.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.8m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)44%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 6:36:12 AM6 trades$1,0674 min
6/12/2026, 12:56:04 AM4 trades$1,0350 min
5/9/2026, 8:43:11 AM6 trades$9495 min
7/10/2026, 5:35:17 AM4 trades$8930 min
4/24/2026, 8:37:02 AM3 trades$7894 min
4/24/2026, 6:59:26 AM2 trades$4050 min
7/10/2026, 2:52:32 AM2 trades$730 min
6/9/2026, 5:23:37 AM2 trades$720 min
6/4/2026, 3:30:33 AM2 trades$541 min
5/9/2026, 8:09:58 AM2 trades$150 min
6/6/2026, 10:33:01 AM2 trades$80 min
6/6/2026, 10:50:10 AM2 trades$80 min
7/24/2026, 9:30:54 AM2 trades$20 min
7/24/2026, 9:43:15 AM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-09
06-04
06-06
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56 / M0 / H44