@Keparo

#2,787,40820

0xbc1775a8bc4dda029c04bc4976c5612430f6289a

~218d· 531 markets · 2013 tradesVol: $733,9822026-08-04 18:15:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (205/490)5.9/20
0.90x (win $43,862 / loss $48,639)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7350/15
Sortino -1.2030/10
$-0.0383 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 129 (490 markets)10/10
46/114 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 136% of peak ($18,934 / $13,916)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Whale
$124,621 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#19,420$879Vol: $503,262
SPORTS#1,844,982$-1,536Vol: $214,132
📈 ECONOMICS#6,123$329Vol: $13,764
🎭 CULTURE#32,036$46Vol: $1,766
📢 MENTIONS#162,404$-88Vol: $599
CRYPTO#101,491$90Vol: $335
💰 FINANCE#609,513$-33Vol: $123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-313
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$733,982
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
531
total markets
Trades
1348B / 665S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~218d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $0
Week
$93
Vol: $0
Month
$-24
Vol: $15
All Time
$-313
Vol: $733,982

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
205W / 285L events
Realized PnL
$-313
Win Rate
42%
205W / 285L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$214
Avg Loss
$-171

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,443 (23.802436762495606% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump wins every swing state?$3,621
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$2,041
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1,781
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$1,594
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,497
Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?$1,254
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?$1,241
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$956
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $917
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$783

Top Losers

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-3,153
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$-2,825
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,975
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,751
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$-1,715
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?$-1,433
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-1,399
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more? $-999
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $-924
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?$-900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.1%
Mid (20-55c)56.5%
High (>55c)12.4%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 5:09:34 PM14 trades$10,3990 min
11/6/2024, 1:08:29 AM3 trades$7,1789 min
10/29/2024, 12:52:04 PM10 trades$7,10124 min
10/29/2024, 1:21:26 PM32 trades$6,27149 min
4/18/2026, 12:11:58 AM7 trades$5,7972 min
4/16/2026, 12:19:18 AM5 trades$4,0630 min
4/11/2026, 8:36:19 PM44 trades$3,63111 min
3/11/2025, 5:40:11 PM1 trades$3,4810 min
4/15/2026, 10:30:06 PM7 trades$3,2240 min
4/18/2026, 4:26:54 AM15 trades$2,9442 min
9/11/2024, 8:15:43 PM8 trades$2,88520 min
6/3/2026, 12:04:51 AM25 trades$2,6163 min
6/5/2026, 1:33:22 AM34 trades$2,45920 min
10/18/2024, 4:32:11 AM3 trades$2,4252 min
4/29/2025, 7:32:34 PM6 trades$2,2227 min
4/22/2026, 12:13:12 AM1 trades$2,1350 min
9/11/2024, 8:48:15 PM24 trades$1,94734 min
5/2/2026, 6:05:36 PM15 trades$1,8648 min
4/11/2026, 7:42:37 PM2 trades$1,7240 min
10/29/2025, 5:41:53 PM7 trades$1,71618 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
03-11
06-07
08-18
09-08
10-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 254 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.73/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.1 / M56.5 / H12.4