@Kevlar-bob

#3,025,2714

0xec538f45dad5e93be172bc99bcc571246cb7e515

~44d· 67 markets · 896 tradesVol: $136,6772026-08-04 19:44:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (21/64)1.4/20
0.51x (win $4,431 / loss $8,629)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1080/15
Sortino -4.8840/10
$-0.1536 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1951 (64 markets)2.7/10
10/34 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 1650% of peak ($5,159 / $313)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,603,821$-637Vol: $56,685
🌤️ WEATHER#293,940$-349Vol: $38,021
⚽ SPORTS#1,787,494$-414Vol: $14,442
💰 FINANCE#655,369$-1,461Vol: $7,061
📈 ECONOMICS#8,975$175Vol: $2,615
🎭 CULTURE#16,801$144Vol: $164

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,677
Total Redeem
$399
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
286B / 610S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-38
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,141
Vol: $136,677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
21W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-3,141
Win Rate
33%
21W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$211
Avg Loss
$-221

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,617 (0.8332038612398758% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?$1,443
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$599
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$576
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$451
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$246
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$237
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$203
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?$197
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?$115
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$83

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-1,309
Trump out as President by April 30?$-771
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-701
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$-639
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$-628
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?$-531
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$-439
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?$-400
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$-348
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?$-274

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.256
HHI
5568
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.097
Kelly %
0.8%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
68.2%
Top-5 markets
118%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1700s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)26.6%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 12:49:28 PM59 trades$20,1001 min
4/7/2026, 7:49:37 PM22 trades$13,9350 min
4/16/2026, 7:25:54 PM28 trades$9,4492 min
4/3/2026, 10:07:57 AM11 trades$5,3311 min
4/7/2026, 10:46:53 PM25 trades$4,8508 min
4/26/2026, 4:45:48 PM11 trades$2,3671 min
4/7/2026, 8:03:17 AM31 trades$1,9470 min
4/24/2026, 2:21:08 PM5 trades$1,8831 min
4/26/2026, 4:52:12 PM32 trades$1,6803 min
4/27/2026, 6:15:24 AM109 trades$1,5192 min
7/28/2026, 6:51:15 AM14 trades$1,3360 min
4/20/2026, 5:33:24 PM28 trades$1,1575 min
5/1/2026, 11:22:46 AM9 trades$1,0890 min
4/28/2026, 9:43:58 PM10 trades$9593 min
4/9/2026, 8:36:23 AM5 trades$8520 min
4/7/2026, 8:31:37 AM19 trades$8020 min
4/26/2026, 12:36:26 PM48 trades$7921 min
4/13/2026, 10:25:55 AM6 trades$7470 min
4/10/2026, 1:31:13 AM31 trades$6901 min
5/10/2026, 10:53:28 AM47 trades$6571 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-06
03-13
04-16
04-27
05-02
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.5 / M26.9 / H26.6