@KirillTA

#403,88297

0x0ceac75259a307110d4ff95fcca44ff70ffd5a4d

~18d· 27 markets · 198 tradesVol: $8,1992026-08-04 22:09:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (16/23)19.8/20
10.40x (win $1,194 / loss $115)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 13.39515/15
Sortino 186.06710/10
$+0.3777 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1029 (23 markets)7.4/10
10/12 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($32 / $1,080)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+22
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Consistent
10/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#63,430$103Vol: $4,886
💰 FINANCE#628,683$-84Vol: $2,667
🎭 CULTURE#102,091$4Vol: $646

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,199
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
65B / 133S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-172
Vol: $433
Week
$-146
Vol: $1,138
Month
$-254
Vol: $1,138
All Time
$22
Vol: $8,199

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
16W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$22
Win Rate
70%
16W / 7L
Profit Factor
10.4x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $835 (37.24665477252453% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$517
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$187
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$130
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$94
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$65
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$57
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$24
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$16

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.671
Sortino
inf
HHI
1101
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.371
Kelly %
21.6%
Half-Kelly
10.8%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
63.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 684s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 9:46:45 AM3 trades$4160 min
7/17/2026, 5:30:46 AM8 trades$3892 min
8/2/2026, 5:15:41 AM6 trades$3584 min
6/23/2026, 7:25:11 AM9 trades$2863 min
7/4/2026, 7:13:17 AM6 trades$2725 min
7/15/2026, 7:28:26 PM4 trades$2704 min
6/24/2026, 1:21:16 AM3 trades$2440 min
7/29/2026, 8:10:51 PM4 trades$1630 min
6/15/2026, 8:36:34 PM2 trades$1540 min
7/29/2026, 8:03:21 PM4 trades$1490 min
6/24/2026, 7:55:43 AM8 trades$1450 min
7/17/2026, 4:21:49 AM4 trades$1311 min
7/17/2026, 5:01:15 AM11 trades$1244 min
7/15/2026, 7:42:08 PM4 trades$1153 min
7/21/2026, 1:12:07 PM3 trades$1140 min
7/21/2026, 7:02:55 AM8 trades$1122 min
7/20/2026, 6:34:31 PM4 trades$1110 min
7/21/2026, 2:09:45 AM3 trades$1110 min
7/23/2026, 6:34:19 PM5 trades$1090 min
7/21/2026, 9:49:43 AM2 trades$1080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-21
06-23
07-04
07-17
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M20 / H72.3