KostyaDDD

@KostyaDDD

#17,39588

0x4934b87b797da86247c7e5d826b1bf575ed35951

~157d· 754 markets · 4696 tradesVol: $934,0992026-08-05 00:39:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (408/733)12.8/20
2.66x (win $105,049 / loss $39,565)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.86615/15
Sortino 9.86910/10
$+0.5752 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 224 (733 markets)10/10
67/136 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($9,920 / $68,105)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+8,130
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$113,837 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#4,739$7,511Vol: $683,707
CRYPTO#21,218$1,895Vol: $67,708
SPORTS#50,021$638Vol: $50,266
📈 ECONOMICS#678,176$-820Vol: $44,690
🎭 CULTURE#26,864$64Vol: $31,798
📢 MENTIONS#172,988$-457Vol: $24,301
💰 FINANCE#642,334$-201Vol: $22,625
💻 TECH#249,917$-107Vol: $4,162
🌤️ WEATHER#279,698$-64Vol: $1,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$934,099
Total Redeem
$1,064
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
754
total markets
Trades
3413B / 1283S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d

Periods

#2
Today
$-327
Vol: $1,706
Week
$-68
Vol: $3,090
Month
$645
Vol: $5,694
All Time
$8,130
Vol: $934,099

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
408W / 325L events
Realized PnL
$8,130
Win Rate
56%
408W / 325L
Profit Factor
2.66x
Avg Win
$257
Avg Loss
$-124

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,458 (5.837093715176904% of PnL)

Top Winners

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$26,007
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$14,896
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$6,556
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,870
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$4,299
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$3,902
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3,718
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3,428
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2,374
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$1,840

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-9,814
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-2,422
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-2,216
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,684
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,271
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,123
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-1,089
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-902
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$-852
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-791

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.149
Sortino
0.388
HHI
448
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.453
Kelly %
19.9%
Half-Kelly
9.9%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
36.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 336s — normal for humanCV 5.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)43.9%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 12:32:10 AM2 trades$10,0420 min
4/5/2026, 2:18:31 PM4 trades$8,3252 min
7/7/2026, 9:02:11 AM7 trades$3,9860 min
7/7/2026, 10:20:34 AM2 trades$3,9380 min
4/12/2026, 6:11:39 PM3 trades$3,0540 min
6/25/2026, 2:51:07 PM10 trades$2,62114 min
4/2/2026, 5:52:09 AM30 trades$2,5305 min
4/24/2026, 7:08:46 AM8 trades$2,4938 min
5/8/2026, 6:38:15 PM4 trades$2,3521 min
5/25/2026, 4:28:30 AM10 trades$2,0741 min
5/31/2026, 4:09:33 AM18 trades$2,0315 min
6/15/2026, 6:48:55 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/29/2026, 7:34:07 AM9 trades$1,9330 min
5/22/2026, 4:58:54 AM5 trades$1,6590 min
6/30/2026, 8:54:53 PM10 trades$1,6270 min
6/10/2026, 3:55:51 AM5 trades$1,5000 min
6/28/2026, 10:33:19 AM2 trades$1,4500 min
7/14/2026, 12:49:16 PM7 trades$1,2502 min
6/19/2026, 10:55:34 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
6/23/2026, 1:35:56 PM9 trades$1,1873 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-19
04-03
05-01
05-26
06-20
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.4 / M26.7 / H43.9