@KristoferBustos
#2,420,469220x0c2c7ed88ab6e5674f1aec29501fd3fe5b41f9ab
~27d· 52 markets · 153 tradesVol: $2,6712026-08-04 21:45:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (22/50)7/20
0.44x (win $141 / loss $319)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6340/15
Sortino -5.8210/10
$-0.3124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 438 (50 markets)10/10
13/25 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($208 / $0)0/10
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#1,433,151$-17Vol: $1,231
₿ CRYPTO#1,334,023$-33Vol: $1,012
🏛️ POLITICS#1,342,981$-16Vol: $328
📈 ECONOMICS#61,566$5Vol: $12
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,671
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
73B / 80S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $176
Month
$-11
Vol: $311
All Time
$-62
Vol: $2,671
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
21W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-62
Win Rate
43%
21W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-23
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61 (0.9844251766217085% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$22
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$17
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$4
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-51
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-2
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-2
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.289
Sortino
-0.273
HHI
887
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
52.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 393s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)71.2%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 3:20:53 PM4 trades$640 min
6/22/2026, 12:33:56 PM10 trades$639 min
6/23/2026, 5:52:14 PM2 trades$600 min
6/11/2026, 12:35:12 PM4 trades$570 min
6/18/2026, 1:34:14 AM2 trades$470 min
6/19/2026, 10:55:58 AM9 trades$463 min
6/11/2026, 12:24:52 PM4 trades$405 min
6/13/2026, 10:45:46 PM4 trades$391 min
7/30/2026, 7:34:26 PM2 trades$320 min
7/9/2026, 7:23:20 PM4 trades$300 min
6/12/2026, 6:31:49 PM3 trades$280 min
7/19/2026, 12:41:12 PM2 trades$280 min
6/27/2026, 2:27:07 PM6 trades$284 min
6/24/2026, 5:13:28 PM4 trades$272 min
6/24/2026, 11:56:37 AM6 trades$243 min
7/14/2026, 7:23:19 PM3 trades$240 min
6/14/2026, 1:54:42 PM2 trades$230 min
4/29/2026, 6:37:28 PM2 trades$220 min
6/13/2026, 2:06:33 PM2 trades$200 min
7/26/2026, 9:59:39 PM2 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
06-17
06-23
07-11
07-17
07-25
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M19.2 / H71.2