
@LadislavPaulus
#275,644280x54d1b2b8b5d749ec1db492c2b78bdea9491df651
~30d· 14 markets · 76 tradesVol: $10,0192026-08-04 17:21:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (10/14)20/20
0.75x (win $425 / loss $563)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6580/15
Sortino -1.8560/10
$-0.1083 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3688 (14 markets)0/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 204% of peak ($548 / $268)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+72
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#82,219$61Vol: $8,819
📈 ECONOMICS#26,817$24Vol: $860
⚽ SPORTS#1,386,180$-13Vol: $340
Overview
#1Net PnL
$72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,019
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
48B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
10W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$72
Win Rate
71%
10W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-188
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $331 (4.6174665178571415% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$163
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$112
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$56
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$28
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$19
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$14
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$6
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$2
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-403
Kash Patel out by May 31?$-145
Will France strike Iran by March 31?$-15
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
3474
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
7.4%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
45.7%
Top-5 markets
106.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1120s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)22.9%
Sessions
#126/25/2026, 3:11:49 AM13 trades$1,5963 min
4/15/2026, 5:48:02 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/4/2026, 12:20:01 PM2 trades$1630 min
6/16/2026, 6:37:14 PM4 trades$1401 min
4/10/2026, 3:18:43 AM2 trades$1190 min
3/23/2026, 11:24:09 AM2 trades$1050 min
5/6/2026, 10:55:50 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/17/2026, 6:50:16 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/29/2026, 2:55:38 AM2 trades$920 min
3/11/2026, 6:55:01 AM1 trades$760 min
3/3/2026, 8:07:33 PM3 trades$763 min
5/7/2026, 10:22:01 PM1 trades$750 min
5/11/2026, 5:25:00 AM1 trades$680 min
4/28/2026, 3:24:22 PM1 trades$600 min
4/11/2026, 6:55:53 PM2 trades$573 min
4/7/2026, 4:07:41 AM1 trades$510 min
5/19/2026, 4:33:20 AM1 trades$490 min
3/10/2026, 4:52:33 PM1 trades$480 min
2/27/2026, 6:54:25 PM3 trades$442 min
2/28/2026, 7:10:15 AM1 trades$430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
02-28
03-03
03-04
03-11
03-23
05-06
05-07
06-16
06-17
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M37.5 / H22.9