LanceKuang98

@LanceKuang98

#2,877,0545

0x326b12a41cdb8fc0d9766e7b0214b69245c433eb

~45d· 138 markets · 904 tradesVol: $133,4142026-08-04 15:18:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (30/128)0/20
0.17x (win $756 / loss $4,530)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6700/15
Sortino -6.3100/10
$-0.8114 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1449 (128 markets)5.3/10
6/36 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 4899% of peak ($3,853 / $79)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#640,751$-180Vol: $58,463
🏛️ POLITICS#1,573,614$-255Vol: $31,482
📈 ECONOMICS#667,025$-174Vol: $20,023
SPORTS#1,655,032$-84Vol: $18,708
CRYPTO#101,692$89Vol: $1,985
🌤️ WEATHER#196,454$-1Vol: $1,896
🎭 CULTURE#728,019$-20Vol: $858

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-625
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,414
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
138
total markets
Trades
393B / 511S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-625
Vol: $133,414

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
30W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-625
Win Rate
23%
30W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $354 (0.5660166061401122% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$142
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$106
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$105
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$43
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$34
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$31
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$24
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$22

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,524
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?$-275
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-240
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-203
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$-199
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-160
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-159
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-90
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$-87
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.344
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
1112
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.688
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.5%
Top-5 markets
53.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
72%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 91s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)72% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)34.4%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 4:02:35 AM32 trades$15,1275 min
6/1/2026, 3:24:47 AM23 trades$8,5945 min
6/2/2026, 12:24:30 AM25 trades$2,0823 min
5/27/2026, 12:16:30 PM3 trades$1,6130 min
5/27/2026, 12:21:42 PM2 trades$1,6130 min
6/9/2026, 11:49:36 PM79 trades$1,34026 min
6/3/2026, 3:13:01 AM13 trades$1,3141 min
5/16/2026, 2:58:35 AM13 trades$1,1147 min
5/29/2026, 4:17:09 AM30 trades$87011 min
6/26/2026, 12:17:14 AM32 trades$80710 min
6/23/2026, 12:52:28 AM3 trades$7390 min
5/30/2026, 2:41:25 AM9 trades$7373 min
5/9/2026, 4:30:37 PM6 trades$7361 min
6/1/2026, 3:42:38 AM2 trades$7120 min
5/19/2026, 12:16:23 AM4 trades$7010 min
5/23/2026, 12:16:39 AM17 trades$6835 min
5/19/2026, 2:36:07 AM25 trades$59211 min
5/28/2026, 12:42:12 AM15 trades$5922 min
5/14/2026, 7:17:49 PM8 trades$5792 min
5/14/2026, 1:04:09 AM16 trades$5414 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-14
05-22
06-02
06-14
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.1/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.3 / M19.3 / H34.4