LastChancce

@LastChancce

#180,23990

0x0d50b468aec7f8c470aeca9fd689c94a01500ff6

~81d· 120 markets · 264 tradesVol: $51,321 @LastChance594892026-08-05 17:26:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (114/120)20/20
15.71x (win $223 / loss $14)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.27915/15
Sortino 35.87110/10
$+0.0054 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 142 (120 markets)10/10
69/71 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($13 / $209)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+186
Consistent
69/71 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#72,310$162Vol: $33,912
🎭 CULTURE#45,856$23Vol: $16,819
🌤️ WEATHER#64,814$1Vol: $590

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$186
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,321
Total Redeem
$896
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
120
total markets
Trades
149B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$186
Vol: $51,321

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
114W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$186
Win Rate
95%
114W / 6L
Profit Factor
15.71x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159 (0.8567733591981894% of PnL)

Top Winners

EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$103
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$42
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?$14
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?$2
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 2?$2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 22-28?$2
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?$-13
Will Solana reach $300 in November?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.222
Sortino
0.323
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
82.9%
Half-Kelly
41.5%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1216s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.3%

Sessions

#12
1/7/2026, 12:39:59 PM4 trades$1,4099 min
1/1/2026, 12:06:53 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
1/2/2026, 9:26:21 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
5/23/2026, 6:57:23 PM6 trades$1,1004 min
5/4/2026, 7:17:36 PM6 trades$1,0484 min
12/28/2025, 12:41:37 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/25/2026, 7:30:36 PM1 trades$9000 min
4/21/2026, 10:49:30 AM2 trades$9000 min
4/9/2026, 4:31:35 PM3 trades$8070 min
1/22/2026, 11:34:28 PM1 trades$8000 min
1/27/2026, 9:23:33 PM1 trades$8000 min
2/2/2026, 11:32:44 AM1 trades$8000 min
2/4/2026, 10:01:13 PM1 trades$8000 min
6/13/2026, 9:52:13 PM6 trades$8003 min
2/8/2026, 7:23:05 PM1 trades$7990 min
2/10/2026, 11:25:53 AM1 trades$7990 min
2/11/2026, 9:08:23 PM1 trades$7990 min
2/16/2026, 8:48:09 PM1 trades$7990 min
2/14/2026, 10:26:57 AM2 trades$7601 min
5/9/2026, 6:34:13 PM9 trades$7307 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
12-22
02-02
02-26
03-13
04-21
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M0 / H99.3