@LeasioMM

#2,680,0178

0x15ad58189cd841b9eac27a059e84a0558a80d17a

~14d· 28 markets · 139 tradesVol: $7,4252026-08-03 16:53:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (3/8)3.8/20
0.43x (win $105 / loss $243)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1757 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2110 (8 markets)2/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 324% of peak ($199 / $61)0/10

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,183$-84Vol: $2,811
⚽ SPORTS#1,470,855$-21Vol: $1,641
💻 TECH#231,181$-14Vol: $914
🌤️ WEATHER#240,232$-8Vol: $558
📈 ECONOMICS#632,661$-25Vol: $495
🎭 CULTURE#722,174$-19Vol: $481
💰 FINANCE#446,377$-1Vol: $469
📢 MENTIONS#87,420$-1Vol: $40
₿ CRYPTO#882,934$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,425
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
79B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $266
Week
$-7
Vol: $881
Month
$-49
Vol: $1,228
All Time
$-175
Vol: $7,425

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
3W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-175
Win Rate
38%
3W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $105 (0.6030355097365407% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$55
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$6

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-97
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-87
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-47
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.303
Sortino
-0.271
HHI
643
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.318
Kelly %
2.0%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
51.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 5:33:58 PM7 trades$2340 min
7/6/2026, 8:09:47 PM6 trades$1491 min
7/8/2026, 7:16:50 PM3 trades$1370 min
7/8/2026, 2:06:16 PM6 trades$1160 min
7/28/2026, 4:41:37 AM3 trades$682 min
7/5/2026, 8:47:37 PM10 trades$553 min
8/2/2026, 7:03:06 PM3 trades$520 min
8/3/2026, 9:21:33 AM3 trades$480 min
7/31/2026, 5:03:38 PM3 trades$480 min
8/3/2026, 11:12:23 AM5 trades$400 min
8/1/2026, 1:11:45 AM4 trades$384 min
7/9/2026, 10:55:14 AM6 trades$370 min
8/2/2026, 5:19:06 PM6 trades$350 min
7/6/2026, 9:23:08 PM3 trades$340 min
7/15/2026, 10:24:20 AM4 trades$280 min
7/30/2026, 3:08:53 AM5 trades$270 min
7/31/2026, 12:21:41 PM3 trades$250 min
7/6/2026, 8:55:56 PM1 trades$190 min
7/31/2026, 7:41:24 PM3 trades$190 min
7/28/2026, 7:17:10 PM10 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-30
07-05
07-06
07-08
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M30.4 / H54.4