Leisana

@Leisana

#484,54718

0x875879d89ca21729511338e762324ec50f2e6122

~42d· 116 markets · 643 tradesVol: $22,133 @van_quila2026-08-05 03:15:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (37/112)1.5/20
0.86x (win $762 / loss $889)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7660/15
Sortino -1.2370/10
$-0.0796 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 399 (112 markets)10/10
19/37 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 6312% of peak ($491 / $8)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+11
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#12,082$36Vol: $9,208
SPORTS#1,574,284$-44Vol: $5,868
🏛️ POLITICS#166,070$11Vol: $4,953
CRYPTO#823,727$-1Vol: $1,627
🎭 CULTURE#77,128$8Vol: $313
📈 ECONOMICS#499,979$-1Vol: $139
💰 FINANCE#100,575$2Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,133
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
394B / 249S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $110
Month
$-6
Vol: $162
All Time
$11
Vol: $22,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
37W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$11
Win Rate
33%
37W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $489 (44.11552346570398% of PnL)

Top Winners

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$340
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$54
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$23
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic$12

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-114
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$-68
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$-67
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-61
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$-41
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
333
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
27.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 705s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)42.6%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 8:06:26 AM9 trades$3060 min
5/14/2026, 10:39:33 AM5 trades$2530 min
5/14/2026, 11:59:42 AM4 trades$2461 min
5/15/2026, 4:09:02 AM5 trades$2300 min
5/13/2026, 8:16:20 AM2 trades$2150 min
5/14/2026, 4:58:06 AM4 trades$1850 min
5/19/2026, 5:50:43 AM2 trades$1850 min
5/15/2026, 7:37:02 PM3 trades$1660 min
5/16/2026, 2:10:05 PM4 trades$1651 min
5/13/2026, 8:25:33 AM4 trades$1550 min
5/12/2026, 4:57:34 AM4 trades$1470 min
5/15/2026, 2:27:32 PM3 trades$1470 min
5/20/2026, 4:11:51 AM9 trades$1343 min
5/16/2026, 2:28:17 AM2 trades$1330 min
5/20/2026, 3:17:28 PM16 trades$1198 min
5/12/2026, 4:32:10 AM2 trades$1110 min
5/13/2026, 9:41:37 AM4 trades$1053 min
5/11/2026, 4:19:30 PM6 trades$921 min
5/13/2026, 8:07:17 AM10 trades$861 min
5/12/2026, 6:58:04 AM2 trades$700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-16
06-06
07-03
07-11
07-19
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.3 / M6.1 / H42.6