@Lelarus
#91,584850xd4cf8148a1751fcf6ae9d73c2fc269d1268e284f
~19d· 23 markets · 176 tradesVol: $34,3642026-08-04 18:59:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (14/21)18.3/20
2.31x (win $6,764 / loss $2,932)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.92815/15
Sortino 12.61910/10
$+0.2974 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1993 (21 markets)2.5/10
8/14 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($2,033 / $5,833)7/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+800
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#18,789$929Vol: $31,311
⚽ SPORTS#1,705,595$-130Vol: $3,045
₿ CRYPTO#475,685$0Vol: $8
Overview
#1Net PnL
$800
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,364
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
47B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $585
All Time
$800
Vol: $34,364
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
14W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$800
Win Rate
67%
14W / 7L
Profit Factor
2.31x
Avg Win
$483
Avg Loss
$-419
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,116 (7.6497198459152544% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$4,685
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1,191
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$241
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$238
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$130
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$126
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$64
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$32
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$28
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$19
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$-1,364
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-854
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$-357
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$-240
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-91
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?$-20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.198
Sortino
0.538
HHI
2190
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.306
Kelly %
33.5%
Half-Kelly
16.8%
Top-1 market
41.6%
Top-5 markets
76.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.8%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)44.7%
Sessions
#124/2/2026, 12:18:49 PM42 trades$7,2205 min
6/13/2026, 8:32:54 AM33 trades$5,5790 min
3/12/2026, 10:05:03 AM2 trades$4,2184 min
6/24/2026, 10:55:02 PM15 trades$2,4281 min
4/2/2026, 12:41:01 PM4 trades$1,0910 min
3/16/2026, 10:50:21 PM2 trades$8464 min
1/19/2026, 1:59:12 AM1 trades$8000 min
6/27/2026, 11:22:20 PM2 trades$7910 min
7/30/2026, 8:01:21 AM10 trades$7360 min
3/16/2026, 12:42:51 PM3 trades$7042 min
3/11/2026, 1:39:35 PM2 trades$6164 min
8/1/2026, 10:41:17 AM2 trades$5130 min
6/9/2026, 8:09:55 AM14 trades$4740 min
6/27/2026, 11:24:31 AM2 trades$4340 min
6/27/2026, 12:40:49 AM2 trades$3710 min
6/26/2026, 3:35:49 PM2 trades$3090 min
6/10/2026, 8:14:55 AM5 trades$2730 min
3/6/2026, 8:48:43 AM1 trades$2400 min
1/14/2026, 12:37:16 AM1 trades$2200 min
6/26/2026, 2:32:32 PM7 trades$1921 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
01-21
03-12
03-25
06-13
06-26
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.8 / M25.5 / H44.7