@LewisDoyleSinger
#45,151230x0d6caba767bef136cfde64cf0782805ad7e3d024
~35d· 54 markets · 216 tradesVol: $55,3382026-08-04 22:09:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (24/52)8.1/20
0.55x (win $6,634 / loss $11,981)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5050/15
Sortino -3.9520/10
$-0.2708 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 589 (52 markets)9.6/10
17/32 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 2106% of peak ($7,342 / $349)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+2,405
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#10,000$4,598Vol: $33,035
🎭 CULTURE#811,795$-1,204Vol: $12,203
📈 ECONOMICS#679,573$-1,156Vol: $5,079
🏛️ POLITICS#1,493,688$-70Vol: $3,463
📢 MENTIONS#3,658$237Vol: $1,558
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,405
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,338
Total Redeem
$846
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
99B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$53
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,405
Vol: $55,338
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
24W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$2,405
Win Rate
46%
24W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$276
Avg Loss
$-479
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,608 (1.5003763697989227% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,068
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$800
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$740
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$673
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$514
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$355
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$234
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$228
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$189
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$140
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-3,016
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-2,779
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-963
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-803
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-800
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$-622
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-570
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-346
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-300
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-250
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.181
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
1196
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.202
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
62.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)39.4%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 10:14:51 AM3 trades$2,4670 min
7/20/2026, 10:36:55 AM5 trades$2,1530 min
7/19/2026, 12:16:16 AM2 trades$2,1390 min
6/9/2026, 2:10:36 PM2 trades$2,0160 min
4/23/2026, 11:06:20 AM4 trades$1,8250 min
5/28/2026, 11:14:03 AM4 trades$1,5930 min
4/10/2026, 10:20:35 AM14 trades$1,4222 min
7/12/2026, 1:29:50 AM2 trades$1,3700 min
6/11/2026, 11:23:04 PM6 trades$1,3470 min
6/15/2026, 7:22:54 PM3 trades$1,2920 min
5/30/2026, 3:46:07 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
5/21/2026, 10:16:45 AM4 trades$1,0964 min
6/15/2026, 4:15:49 PM8 trades$1,0240 min
3/20/2026, 3:16:21 PM3 trades$8908 min
6/29/2026, 1:19:14 PM7 trades$8030 min
5/13/2026, 2:13:41 PM7 trades$8001 min
6/14/2026, 4:56:22 PM4 trades$8000 min
5/18/2026, 8:09:32 PM10 trades$7562 min
6/12/2026, 6:31:06 PM2 trades$7410 min
5/6/2026, 6:46:43 PM8 trades$7061 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-20
05-06
05-16
05-29
06-12
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.3 / M31.3 / H39.4