@LightConcern

#2,788,81514

0xe5b018407ecd66138ebf2f4ad789ab212f5b83a1

~9d· 12 markets · 48 tradesVol: $10,5032026-08-04 18:59:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (3/7)6.4/20
0.15x (win $188 / loss $1,266)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7230/15
Sortino -8.0020/10
$-0.2116 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1690 (7 markets)4.1/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 781% of peak ($1,266 / $162)0/10

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#864,386$-1Vol: $9,550
SPORTS#211,673$26Vol: $587

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,503
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
27B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-316
Vol: $10,503

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
3W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-316
Win Rate
43%
3W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-422

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $189 (0.5973507415388516% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$115
Spread: Liberia (-2.5)$47
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$26

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-945
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$-193
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.423
Sortino
-0.340
HHI
530
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.430
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
46.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
54.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3272s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)74.1%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 7:42:43 AM4 trades$7160 min
7/28/2026, 6:36:45 AM3 trades$6654 min
6/19/2026, 6:44:55 AM3 trades$6534 min
6/20/2026, 4:27:28 AM3 trades$6490 min
6/20/2026, 3:56:04 AM5 trades$6160 min
7/28/2026, 2:12:46 AM2 trades$3850 min
6/10/2026, 5:30:24 AM2 trades$3600 min
6/10/2026, 6:44:33 AM2 trades$3600 min
6/9/2026, 6:38:00 AM2 trades$3530 min
6/9/2026, 8:03:13 AM2 trades$3410 min
6/19/2026, 3:05:37 AM2 trades$3290 min
7/15/2026, 1:49:10 AM2 trades$3280 min
7/15/2026, 2:54:35 AM2 trades$3280 min
6/9/2026, 7:42:46 AM2 trades$3180 min
6/19/2026, 7:43:07 AM1 trades$3150 min
7/28/2026, 7:27:09 AM1 trades$2920 min
7/3/2026, 4:59:37 AM2 trades$640 min
6/20/2026, 2:52:40 AM2 trades$460 min
6/20/2026, 4:02:17 AM2 trades$290 min
6/15/2026, 1:56:19 AM2 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-15
06-19
06-20
07-03
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.9 / M0 / H74.1