@LightningAndTheThunder
#19,303860xc3066f356e5895fd2c0ff410b5c9aa2b02d0accd
~22d· 29 markets · 202 tradesVol: $62,2622026-08-06 06:01:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (16/27)14.6/20
2.08x (win $5,879 / loss $2,826)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.58015/15
Sortino 18.26910/10
$+0.3760 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 688 (27 markets)9.1/10
9/19 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($916 / $3,225)8.3/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+7,088
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#7,038$7,088Vol: $62,262
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,088
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,262
Total Redeem
$1,293
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
84B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Today
$14
Vol: $3,521
Week
$1,596
Vol: $11,804
Month
$1,404
Vol: $11,804
All Time
$7,088
Vol: $62,262
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
16W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$7,088
Win Rate
59%
16W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.08x
Avg Win
$367
Avg Loss
$-257
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,969 (0.4189159064165766% of PnL)
Top Winners
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury$1,054
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$975
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$940
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky$624
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$400
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire$377
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics$372
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics$256
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$180
Top Losers
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)$-490
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-470
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5$-408
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-336
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky$-320
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream$-200
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries$-172
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-172
PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty$-170
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.335
Sortino
1.286
HHI
613
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.386
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
41.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)79.8%
High (>55c)19%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 12:06:31 AM3 trades$1,0540 min
7/26/2026, 3:09:22 AM6 trades$1,0290 min
7/14/2026, 8:28:52 PM6 trades$1,0190 min
8/6/2026, 3:59:53 AM10 trades$1,0070 min
7/25/2026, 7:07:06 AM11 trades$1,0000 min
7/24/2026, 8:03:16 AM10 trades$1,0000 min
8/3/2026, 4:29:56 AM7 trades$6370 min
8/4/2026, 8:01:14 PM12 trades$6290 min
7/28/2026, 5:55:27 AM2 trades$6000 min
7/11/2026, 6:45:53 AM11 trades$5551 min
7/22/2026, 1:58:24 AM2 trades$5550 min
7/8/2026, 3:44:22 AM4 trades$5121 min
7/22/2026, 5:28:34 PM9 trades$5000 min
7/27/2026, 6:39:12 AM4 trades$5000 min
7/28/2026, 6:05:00 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/2/2026, 6:52:32 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/13/2026, 4:42:14 PM2 trades$4000 min
4/22/2026, 1:09:56 AM7 trades$3421 min
7/27/2026, 6:10:25 AM9 trades$3280 min
7/11/2026, 6:38:46 AM2 trades$3000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-25
07-10
07-14
07-24
07-27
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.59/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L1.2 / M79.8 / H19