@Likeafox
#513,716170x78081e8cd322acf2485f65c89c6ecd71c5b7d645
~27d· 26 markets · 54 tradesVol: $3,8142026-08-05 17:25:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (11/26)6.2/20
0.47x (win $286 / loss $602)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0770/15
Sortino -4.1870/10
$-0.2537 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1028 (26 markets)7.4/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 270% of peak ($501 / $185)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+8
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#119,023$27Vol: $2,684
💰 FINANCE#613,258$-39Vol: $534
⚽ SPORTS#172,588$46Vol: $391
🎭 CULTURE#711,811$-15Vol: $161
📢 MENTIONS#129,352$-10Vol: $43
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,814
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
35B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
11W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$8
Win Rate
42%
11W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-40
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $199 (23.439340400471142% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$88
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$66
Seahawks vs. Patriots$45
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$17
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$5
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$4
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$2
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-200
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-120
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-119
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-50
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-25
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-20
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$-20
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-14
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?$-10
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.207
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
1166
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.232
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.2%
Top-5 markets
62.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)37.1%
High (>55c)40%
Sessions
#125/28/2026, 7:29:03 AM6 trades$4502 min
2/20/2026, 6:35:26 PM3 trades$1403 min
4/1/2025, 7:04:11 AM1 trades$1230 min
2/25/2026, 6:24:22 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/8/2026, 11:39:03 PM2 trades$1202 min
2/3/2026, 12:13:50 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/1/2026, 6:06:23 AM7 trades$921 min
3/31/2026, 8:21:11 AM1 trades$740 min
3/31/2026, 9:04:41 AM1 trades$740 min
3/17/2026, 3:19:25 AM2 trades$695 min
3/29/2026, 1:15:12 AM1 trades$680 min
3/27/2026, 11:57:37 PM1 trades$680 min
3/17/2026, 3:32:37 AM1 trades$620 min
2/13/2026, 3:47:49 PM3 trades$573 min
2/25/2026, 8:41:04 PM2 trades$430 min
1/23/2026, 2:14:00 AM1 trades$400 min
2/14/2026, 7:45:37 PM1 trades$300 min
2/26/2026, 12:03:32 AM2 trades$300 min
2/2/2026, 6:29:34 AM1 trades$200 min
1/14/2026, 4:04:58 AM1 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
01-23
02-03
02-26
03-17
04-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.9 / M37.1 / H40