LilQz

@LilQz

#2,882,8909

0x9d17ed277a75da3876b63825e955a6d6ecf1c3da

~55d· 92 markets · 757 tradesVol: $211,2162026-08-04 21:44:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (9/92)0/20
0.41x (win $1,463 / loss $3,545)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7430/15
Sortino -4.2390/10
$-0.3720 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 756 (92 markets)8.7/10
7/44 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 473% of peak ($2,696 / $570)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,273$-447Vol: $158,749
📢 MENTIONS#156,800$-51Vol: $34,331
🌤️ WEATHER#286,328$-112Vol: $17,031
📈 ECONOMICS#646,357$-47Vol: $757
CRYPTO#960,633$-3Vol: $348

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-658
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$211,216
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
381B / 376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
9W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-658
Win Rate
10%
9W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$163
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,367 (2.076413575183058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$570
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$557
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?$240
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$54
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$24
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$15

Top Losers

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$-1,228
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-452
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-347
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$-252
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-152
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-115
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$-80
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$-62
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$-57
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.194
Sortino
-0.220
HHI
989
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
63.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2384s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)10.8%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 3:18:31 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/14/2026, 9:38:22 PM4 trades$2,2601 min
4/12/2026, 11:46:31 AM14 trades$1,4794 min
4/12/2026, 9:25:17 AM14 trades$1,1892 min
5/5/2026, 6:02:20 PM7 trades$9060 min
5/5/2026, 1:03:30 PM5 trades$5300 min
4/8/2026, 6:33:23 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/8/2026, 11:24:15 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/24/2026, 8:46:20 PM21 trades$4910 min
4/25/2026, 12:09:32 PM14 trades$4810 min
3/24/2026, 8:35:07 AM2 trades$4241 min
4/24/2026, 6:57:16 AM27 trades$4114 min
5/5/2026, 2:25:40 PM2 trades$3750 min
4/2/2026, 2:57:09 PM10 trades$3694 min
4/26/2026, 2:12:02 PM10 trades$3661 min
5/5/2026, 10:51:48 AM9 trades$3390 min
4/25/2026, 3:18:46 PM8 trades$3280 min
3/29/2026, 7:28:10 AM4 trades$3279 min
4/26/2026, 12:00:22 AM19 trades$3042 min
4/24/2026, 7:16:30 AM10 trades$2860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-11
03-24
04-01
04-13
04-28
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.6 / M23.6 / H10.8