Lilbin

@Lilbin

#262,78753

0xe597ac560bda73efcf820712edae7531b9e14e73

~13d· 56 markets · 179 tradesVol: $15,141 @Lil_Bin212026-08-04 23:02:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (26/56)8.2/20
1.13x (win $776 / loss $686)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.74815/15
Sortino 3.46710/10
$+0.0433 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 390 (56 markets)10/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($156 / $247)1.3/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+82
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#101,441$146Vol: $14,174
CRYPTO#880,698$-1Vol: $111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$82
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,141
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
91B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
26W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$82
Win Rate
46%
26W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $215 (2.6318694798822375% of PnL)

Top Winners

Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5$87
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$72
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$56
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$54
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5$51
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$44
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$39
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5$37
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$35
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$35

Top Losers

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5$-169
Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?$-100
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Total Corners Odd or Even?$-60
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-40
Australia vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?$-40
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-40
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5$-31
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$-24
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.088
Sortino
0.197
HHI
508
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
40.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1000s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.48
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)53.8%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 5:16:41 AM6 trades$3445 min
7/1/2026, 6:02:31 PM2 trades$2930 min
7/3/2026, 1:07:13 AM4 trades$2503 min
6/17/2026, 2:24:42 AM4 trades$2450 min
7/5/2026, 10:07:32 PM4 trades$2234 min
7/3/2026, 7:55:11 PM4 trades$1995 min
6/16/2026, 10:47:26 PM4 trades$1693 min
6/16/2026, 11:41:05 PM4 trades$1602 min
7/1/2026, 2:40:41 PM2 trades$1470 min
6/17/2026, 7:42:07 AM2 trades$1260 min
6/17/2026, 12:05:44 AM4 trades$1241 min
7/3/2026, 3:17:41 PM4 trades$1162 min
7/2/2026, 8:52:17 PM2 trades$1040 min
7/4/2026, 7:13:19 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/3/2026, 2:34:25 AM4 trades$923 min
6/17/2026, 4:46:52 AM5 trades$904 min
6/18/2026, 6:58:11 AM6 trades$871 min
7/2/2026, 9:02:29 PM2 trades$860 min
7/1/2026, 10:15:25 PM2 trades$750 min
6/16/2026, 11:20:55 PM2 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-16
06-18
07-01
07-03
07-05
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.3 / M31.9 / H53.8