Liotta

@Liotta

#15,87966

0xf7352227cdae36ee84cddaec5f5472f723786157

~191d· 178 markets · 1767 tradesVol: $852,937 @coldeth2026-08-06 06:32:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (98/177)12.7/20
1.49x (win $28,355 / loss $18,990)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10415/15
Sortino 1.90510/10
$+0.0255 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 398 (177 markets)10/10
67/121 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($8,222 / $13,499)1.8/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+9,213
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.2 entries/market
Whale
$366,517 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

6
CRYPTO#32,920$869Vol: $411,999
🎭 CULTURE#3,432$1,747Vol: $145,912
SPORTS#44,550$765Vol: $129,057
🏛️ POLITICS#6,176$5,159Vol: $123,564
💰 FINANCE#5,901$604Vol: $40,305
📢 MENTIONS#147,917$-26Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,213
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$852,937
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
178
total markets
Trades
1177B / 590S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~191d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $9,584
Month
$-3
Vol: $10,970
All Time
$9,213
Vol: $852,937

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
98W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$9,213
Win Rate
55%
98W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$289
Avg Loss
$-250

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,197 (1.6495448077033712% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?$11,257
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$2,288
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$1,651
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1,626
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,382
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$944
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$914
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?$874
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$816
Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?$590

Top Losers

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?$-5,416
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$-3,584
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$-2,900
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$-1,894
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$-412
Solana above $150 on May 2?$-360
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?$-346
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?$-319
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?$-314
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?$-299

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.067
HHI
385
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 350s — normal for humanCV 4.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.5%
Mid (20-55c)37%
High (>55c)27.4%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 8:49:24 PM2 trades$22,5640 min
6/20/2025, 11:54:28 AM2 trades$22,1331 min
6/6/2025, 8:32:34 AM2 trades$20,9671 min
12/24/2025, 7:57:09 AM1 trades$20,7020 min
11/4/2025, 7:28:29 PM23 trades$20,1327 min
12/30/2024, 6:08:20 AM4 trades$18,4790 min
6/19/2026, 8:52:08 PM12 trades$17,8496 min
12/28/2024, 4:58:14 PM7 trades$17,7070 min
12/30/2024, 6:27:36 AM9 trades$17,2171 min
4/30/2025, 3:28:32 PM1 trades$14,4350 min
6/11/2026, 8:31:39 PM8 trades$11,3672 min
1/5/2025, 7:09:55 AM1 trades$11,1800 min
12/24/2025, 6:49:21 PM1 trades$10,0600 min
12/21/2025, 8:54:37 AM1 trades$9,7710 min
12/29/2024, 10:53:02 AM1 trades$9,6720 min
12/21/2025, 6:32:32 PM1 trades$9,3240 min
2/14/2025, 4:59:33 PM2 trades$9,1540 min
11/13/2025, 9:29:38 PM3 trades$8,7724 min
6/24/2026, 6:37:23 PM1 trades$8,5450 min
12/30/2024, 9:07:40 AM1 trades$8,2300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
01-12
02-20
05-18
07-13
11-12
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.5 / M37 / H27.4