Lipo

@Lipo

#3,064,96029

0x6d7ea25346fc5ee4510683c55744f3a8eda9a7b0

~149d· 418 markets · 2710 tradesVol: $659,7882026-08-04 21:25:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (229/402)13.5/20
0.34x (win $14,496 / loss $43,041)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6180/15
Sortino -4.5410/10
$-0.2021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 159 (402 markets)10/10
62/117 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 7228% of peak ($30,533 / $422)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$141,232 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,662,202$-3,474Vol: $321,622
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,966$-10,018Vol: $275,528
SPORTS#1,836,044$-1,142Vol: $19,964
📈 ECONOMICS#669,067$-205Vol: $13,327
🎭 CULTURE#812,185$-1,312Vol: $12,067
📢 MENTIONS#10,497$39Vol: $6,895
💰 FINANCE#22,862$64Vol: $1,051
🌤️ WEATHER#17,893$17Vol: $687
💻 TECH#22,346$6Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$659,788
Total Redeem
$631
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
418
total markets
Trades
1297B / 1413S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $550
Week
$11
Vol: $602
Month
$-2
Vol: $602
All Time
$-16,228
Vol: $659,788

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
228W / 173L events
Realized PnL
$-16,228
Win Rate
57%
228W / 173L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-259

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,279 (0.202081121335684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1,797
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?$893
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$540
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$521
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$457
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$446
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?$443
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$433
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$423

Top Losers

Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$-4,512
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-4,101
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$-3,075
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-2,247
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$-2,229
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,907
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?$-1,886
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-1,721
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-1,325
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-1,322

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.241
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.200
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)64.3%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 8:27:26 PM76 trades$8,0873 min
4/13/2026, 9:57:35 AM26 trades$6,1256 min
12/13/2024, 4:14:09 PM8 trades$5,27517 min
6/11/2026, 10:17:13 AM49 trades$4,64925 min
5/11/2025, 1:42:50 PM1 trades$4,5520 min
5/16/2025, 9:01:19 PM4 trades$4,2724 min
4/12/2026, 6:33:49 PM14 trades$4,2355 min
12/21/2024, 9:27:06 AM2 trades$3,8931 min
4/11/2026, 9:30:47 AM59 trades$3,87414 min
12/12/2024, 10:16:46 PM8 trades$3,5669 min
4/30/2026, 1:53:48 PM30 trades$3,4312 min
12/12/2024, 10:58:13 PM7 trades$3,28814 min
3/19/2026, 8:11:09 PM43 trades$3,22418 min
6/2/2025, 2:54:48 PM7 trades$3,07817 min
1/3/2026, 3:50:25 PM2 trades$2,9704 min
4/11/2026, 8:08:27 PM35 trades$2,9271 min
5/21/2026, 2:40:55 PM9 trades$2,5570 min
12/7/2024, 6:43:07 PM4 trades$2,5564 min
5/19/2026, 8:36:28 AM38 trades$2,4235 min
12/19/2024, 5:47:50 PM2 trades$2,3540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-08
02-13
03-28
06-06
07-17
05-03
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 545 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.5 / M24.2 / H64.3