@LittleGuy2.0

#2,695,84910

0x31464abe4c7c02daa468c6f68e5a39e81cfcd2fe

~40d· 101 markets · 300 tradesVol: $47,3852026-08-04 21:24:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (20/101)0/20
0.54x (win $278 / loss $520)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.2360/15
Sortino -9.7780/10
$-0.2621 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 398 (101 markets)10/10
7/31 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($255 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,428,459$-33Vol: $25,019
🎭 CULTURE#29,216$55Vol: $10,103
₿ CRYPTO#1,517,928$-161Vol: $7,813
⚽ SPORTS#1,384,440$-12Vol: $1,942
📈 ECONOMICS#615,708$-15Vol: $1,782
📢 MENTIONS#144,100$-22Vol: $725

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-189
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,385
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
247B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
20W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-189
Win Rate
20%
20W / 81L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $137 (0.7231330653691558% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$59
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$57
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?$21
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$19
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$11
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - November 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$-30
Solana Up or Down - November 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-29
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-25
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$-21
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$-20
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-15
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-14
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 9AM ET$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.527
Sortino
-0.679
HHI
245
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.262
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)77.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)4.5%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 3:28:54 AM1 trades$1080 min
11/10/2025, 4:37:55 AM3 trades$802 min
11/10/2025, 3:36:26 PM10 trades$5515 min
11/18/2025, 8:41:15 PM3 trades$454 min
6/17/2026, 1:10:34 PM11 trades$4513 min
11/10/2025, 4:49:30 PM2 trades$431 min
11/15/2025, 6:07:58 PM6 trades$3812 min
3/1/2026, 3:47:57 AM4 trades$373 min
11/11/2025, 2:08:50 PM4 trades$354 min
11/19/2025, 3:16:21 PM2 trades$352 min
11/19/2025, 6:13:21 PM2 trades$312 min
11/19/2025, 11:18:01 PM3 trades$305 min
11/19/2025, 6:31:07 PM1 trades$290 min
11/10/2025, 12:19:45 AM2 trades$262 min
11/19/2025, 11:32:29 PM1 trades$250 min
11/17/2025, 10:01:59 PM11 trades$227 min
11/18/2025, 6:26:31 PM2 trades$210 min
11/10/2025, 3:28:56 PM2 trades$211 min
11/19/2025, 6:03:23 PM3 trades$214 min
11/19/2025, 5:57:39 PM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
11-10
11-16
12-10
12-31
01-21
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.3 / M18.2 / H4.5