@Lokilaw

#2,881,32248

0xe7ecc8e0837b15b3928bead62f8cb4e08414a3ad

~58d· 179 markets · 515 tradesVol: $118,130 @Lokilaw_NLD2026-08-04 19:35:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (86/175)9.6/20
1.10x (win $4,807 / loss $4,380)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.60211.3/15
Sortino 1.27110/10
$+0.0512 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 815 (175 markets)8.4/10
17/43 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($1,127 / $892)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,339,155$-34Vol: $48,561
SPORTS#680,366$-0Vol: $45,624
🎭 CULTURE#807,075$-587Vol: $18,943
🏛️ POLITICS#1,108,207$-4Vol: $1,010
💰 FINANCE#570,438$-10Vol: $218
💻 TECH#102,184$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,130
Total Redeem
$204
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
360B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $98
Month
$57
Vol: $98
All Time
$-649
Vol: $118,130

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
86W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$-649
Win Rate
49%
86W / 89L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,724 (4.19808907381723% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,476
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?$1,061
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B$187
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$181
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$170
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$158
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5$145
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$122
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$108
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios$104

Top Losers

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?$-692
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-300
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5$-200
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-193
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-160
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$-155
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$-150
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-150
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$-100
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.069
HHI
876
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
23.0%
Half-Kelly
11.5%
Top-1 market
26.7%
Top-5 markets
46.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)55.8%
High (>55c)22.5%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 4:09:02 AM10 trades$8810 min
12/27/2025, 4:24:11 AM1 trades$6740 min
5/20/2026, 4:07:59 AM2 trades$6160 min
5/22/2026, 2:08:29 AM35 trades$5113 min
12/25/2025, 9:43:19 AM3 trades$4302 min
12/3/2025, 8:35:13 AM1 trades$3950 min
12/16/2025, 2:06:05 PM1 trades$3440 min
5/20/2026, 3:00:59 AM2 trades$2740 min
12/22/2025, 7:53:25 AM2 trades$2660 min
12/14/2025, 11:52:59 AM1 trades$2660 min
12/16/2025, 11:35:55 AM4 trades$25511 min
12/16/2025, 7:09:25 AM5 trades$2501 min
12/18/2025, 12:38:38 PM1 trades$2500 min
12/3/2025, 8:13:45 AM2 trades$2315 min
6/13/2026, 11:37:21 AM14 trades$2264 min
12/18/2025, 6:12:35 PM2 trades$2250 min
6/6/2026, 4:07:22 PM3 trades$2170 min
6/8/2026, 2:57:13 AM6 trades$2141 min
5/31/2026, 2:26:14 AM2 trades$2144 min
6/7/2026, 3:01:27 AM6 trades$2115 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
12-06
12-21
05-20
06-07
06-15
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.7 / M55.8 / H22.5