@Lolacainarb

#2,920,78336

0xb2ea4089f12c6df43816f9e4979607b31ef7fe59

~66d· 427 markets · 1697 tradesVol: $34,6162026-08-04 19:05:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (350/426)20/20
0.53x (win $705 / loss $1,338)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7580/15
Sortino -5.8520/10
$-0.0592 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 65 (426 markets)10/10
34/64 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 824% of peak ($720 / $87)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#295,453$-509Vol: $24,232
CRYPTO#1,495,578$-121Vol: $6,086
SPORTS#1,735,720$-191Vol: $2,739
💰 FINANCE#638,116$-143Vol: $1,559

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-964
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,616
Total Redeem
$572
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
427
total markets
Trades
775B / 922S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
350W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-964
Win Rate
82%
350W / 76L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $104 (0.10835849076177731% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$32
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 12?$16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?$13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?$12
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 5?$8

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 7?$-181
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5$-100
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 27?$-86
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)$-50
Spurs vs. Knicks$-40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?$-39
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 7?$-38
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on May 4?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 11?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.299
Sortino
-0.287
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1029s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)97.3%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 10:01:05 PM4 trades$3691 min
5/16/2026, 1:54:41 AM13 trades$2284 min
5/12/2026, 3:22:00 PM47 trades$21013 min
5/14/2026, 6:12:24 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/16/2026, 8:56:49 PM2 trades$1820 min
5/15/2026, 3:40:48 AM14 trades$1754 min
5/13/2026, 4:26:46 AM17 trades$1576 min
6/10/2026, 12:11:09 PM4 trades$1451 min
6/14/2026, 9:02:30 AM9 trades$1424 min
5/12/2026, 9:09:26 PM3 trades$1400 min
5/15/2026, 5:43:48 PM4 trades$1380 min
4/26/2026, 5:41:08 PM20 trades$13112 min
5/2/2026, 4:14:14 AM18 trades$1302 min
4/26/2026, 3:35:20 PM12 trades$1273 min
5/13/2026, 11:55:46 PM18 trades$1203 min
5/7/2026, 12:39:47 AM12 trades$1197 min
5/2/2026, 2:37:36 AM19 trades$1179 min
6/14/2026, 9:55:30 AM13 trades$1159 min
6/15/2026, 1:42:45 PM11 trades$1092 min
6/8/2026, 4:07:21 PM7 trades$1082 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
05-04
05-14
05-29
06-13
07-03
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M2.3 / H97.3