@LongShot-Louie
#2,961,356300xbfbb9bdd654cb928a1b7b36e994bd53512a4dc2b
~411d· 577 markets · 8045 tradesVol: $1,887,5902026-08-04 22:09:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (279/507)12.5/20
0.90x (win $46,390 / loss $51,398)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8970/15
Sortino -1.0080/10
$-0.0355 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 112 (507 markets)10/10
118/223 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 144212% of peak ($7,312 / $5)0/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.2 entries/market
Whale
$140,980 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#16,783$1,116Vol: $1,391,867
₿ CRYPTO#1,666,397$-4,666Vol: $185,538
📈 ECONOMICS#5,646$375Vol: $115,619
🎭 CULTURE#6,525$676Vol: $71,928
⚽ SPORTS#1,823,034$-913Vol: $57,544
💰 FINANCE#4,160$1,018Vol: $42,574
💻 TECH#1,779$706Vol: $9,339
📢 MENTIONS#169,528$-214Vol: $4,912
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,887,590
Total Redeem
$400
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
577
total markets
Trades
4907B / 3138S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~411d
Periods
#2Today
$-12
Vol: $700
Week
$-68
Vol: $740
Month
$5
Vol: $1,728
All Time
$-1,375
Vol: $1,887,590
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
279W / 228L events
Realized PnL
$-1,386
Win Rate
55%
279W / 228L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$166
Avg Loss
$-227
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,499 (9.740165377510968% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$6,257
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$4,565
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?$2,678
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?$2,318
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$1,824
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?$1,484
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1,454
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?$1,235
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,021
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$814
Top Losers
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?$-22,775
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-2,532
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-1,464
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,244
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?$-1,141
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-1,106
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?$-741
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?$-738
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$-538
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 4?$-496
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
17.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 304s — normal for humanCV 3.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.21
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)66.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)15.4%
Sessions
#125/7/2025, 10:04:12 PM56 trades$2,24353 min
11/6/2024, 9:44:41 AM1 trades$2,1340 min
10/23/2024, 4:56:29 PM2 trades$2,0770 min
11/5/2024, 10:05:19 PM1 trades$1,9620 min
4/29/2025, 3:59:36 AM6 trades$1,7597 min
5/7/2025, 2:30:35 PM5 trades$1,5717 min
11/5/2024, 2:44:37 PM8 trades$1,5643 min
11/6/2024, 1:18:35 AM7 trades$1,5628 min
11/8/2024, 9:00:15 PM4 trades$1,5478 min
11/5/2024, 2:02:59 PM6 trades$1,41211 min
11/7/2024, 1:26:47 PM2 trades$1,3831 min
11/7/2024, 11:42:27 AM2 trades$1,3635 min
11/15/2024, 7:39:07 AM1 trades$1,3540 min
11/15/2024, 8:04:03 AM1 trades$1,3540 min
11/15/2024, 8:58:59 PM1 trades$1,3350 min
10/23/2024, 6:25:07 PM5 trades$1,3141 min
11/11/2024, 1:10:23 AM2 trades$1,1611 min
11/11/2024, 6:09:11 AM1 trades$1,1610 min
5/18/2025, 10:25:53 PM3 trades$1,1391 min
10/29/2024, 12:27:46 AM2 trades$1,1343 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
01-15
05-13
07-09
10-27
01-16
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 586 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.21/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.9 / M17.8 / H15.4