@LuckHPRD

#491,32434

0x211dbbb3580d46e6b6169156acf766fcdcab0776

~18d· 240 markets · 615 tradesVol: $41,5642026-08-05 01:18:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (138/240)13.7/20
0.50x (win $19 / loss $37)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6450/15
Sortino -2.6590/10
$-0.0021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 290 (240 markets)10/10
16/18 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($34 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+10
Consistent
16/18 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#15,645$22Vol: $41,514
💰 FINANCE#578,611$-12Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,564
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
240
total markets
Trades
383B / 232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
138W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
57%
138W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.5775193798449613% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12?$3
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?$2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?$1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 25?$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25?$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 25?$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 26?$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 27?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?$-3
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
300
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.4
Active
Markets / Day
12.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 1288s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency13 markets/day — mass coverage62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 5:03:02 PM3 trades$8990 min
6/29/2026, 9:02:25 AM7 trades$7242 min
6/26/2026, 2:25:31 PM4 trades$5400 min
6/25/2026, 8:07:10 AM21 trades$32010 min
6/26/2026, 12:06:23 AM2 trades$3200 min
6/29/2026, 8:56:58 AM1 trades$3000 min
6/29/2026, 9:34:14 AM1 trades$3000 min
6/29/2026, 8:44:17 AM2 trades$2991 min
6/21/2026, 2:06:10 AM7 trades$2793 min
6/24/2026, 5:06:14 AM4 trades$2400 min
6/21/2026, 2:25:37 PM3 trades$2401 min
6/24/2026, 11:55:19 AM3 trades$2401 min
6/21/2026, 3:07:11 AM4 trades$1800 min
6/24/2026, 7:39:47 PM5 trades$1666 min
6/26/2026, 3:59:46 PM3 trades$1641 min
6/20/2026, 6:07:40 PM4 trades$1600 min
6/24/2026, 9:31:46 AM2 trades$1600 min
6/25/2026, 11:57:40 AM6 trades$16010 min
6/24/2026, 7:40:11 AM2 trades$1440 min
6/27/2026, 8:04:38 AM5 trades$1402 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-14
06-17
06-20
06-24
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.8 / H99.2