@Lucky-Deuce

#3,026,67830

0x6fab4fb7dbf4cf6e7fa3adcf68524f6ebbcd3444

~16d· 37 markets · 152 tradesVol: $94,808 @Billy25321201962026-08-06 07:54:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (23/36)16.9/20
0.11x (win $408 / loss $3,841)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9920/15
Sortino -6.5960/10
$-0.3451 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1608 (36 markets)4.5/10
9/14 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,745 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Consistent
9/14 profitable days
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,079
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$94,808
Total Redeem
$4,881
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
99B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
23W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-3,079
Win Rate
64%
23W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-640

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $331 (0.1075926346897022% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$188
Hawks vs. Wizards$83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$61
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$28
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$2

Top Losers

Pelicans vs. Nets$-1,680
Magic vs. Knicks$-1,540
Rockets vs. Mavericks$-573
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?$-36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-12
Will Sriram Krishnan be the next CEO of X?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.353
Sortino
-0.224
HHI
1642
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
83.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.9m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 2:12:37 AM2 trades$1,8492 min
12/6/2025, 8:05:53 AM7 trades$1,6804 min
4/10/2026, 1:41:09 PM8 trades$1,4243 min
4/9/2026, 2:02:03 PM5 trades$1,0602 min
4/10/2026, 1:29:55 PM3 trades$9831 min
12/7/2025, 1:22:35 AM2 trades$9470 min
12/6/2025, 8:23:31 AM3 trades$8200 min
12/7/2025, 1:35:11 AM5 trades$8205 min
12/7/2025, 4:32:07 AM1 trades$7800 min
12/7/2025, 7:10:55 AM5 trades$7626 min
12/6/2025, 11:34:57 AM2 trades$5491 min
12/7/2025, 2:24:47 AM3 trades$3104 min
12/7/2025, 3:04:05 AM2 trades$2992 min
12/6/2025, 12:10:17 PM1 trades$1400 min
12/6/2025, 11:48:47 AM3 trades$1230 min
12/6/2025, 3:42:23 PM2 trades$1160 min
5/18/2026, 4:15:28 AM19 trades$1132 min
12/6/2025, 2:15:29 PM4 trades$712 min
12/6/2025, 2:44:59 PM4 trades$590 min
8/6/2026, 3:57:47 AM2 trades$560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
12-09
04-09
04-12
06-13
06-24
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M33.3 / H45.5