Luckyfortunate

@Luckyfortunate

#2,912,30429

0xe1c81634ccf464e62194b6e6ec9e477a7a0d0743

~239d· 498 markets · 924 tradesVol: $106,179 @EJRD1112026-08-04 21:51:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (247/478)10.8/20
1.00x (win $2,291 / loss $2,302)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0110/15
Sortino -0.0270/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 401 (478 markets)10/10
113/212 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($957 / $851)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,571$-178Vol: $63,234
SPORTS#1,799,418$-519Vol: $28,580
🎭 CULTURE#769,244$-64Vol: $5,909
CRYPTO#1,492,977$-120Vol: $4,647
💰 FINANCE#49,337$13Vol: $634
🌤️ WEATHER#212,933$-3Vol: $566
📈 ECONOMICS#629,798$-21Vol: $297
📢 MENTIONS#17,452$13Vol: $109
💻 TECH#25,958$4Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-885
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,179
Total Redeem
$49
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
498
total markets
Trades
656B / 268S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~239d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-885
Vol: $106,179

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
247W / 231L events
Realized PnL
$-885
Win Rate
52%
247W / 231L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,450 (1.6391617402706034% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$664
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$452
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$335
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$311
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$96
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?$79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?$20
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$18

Top Losers

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-283
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-138
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-62
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$-56
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?$-55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-48
Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5$-40
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.001
HHI
323
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
22.0%
Half-Kelly
11.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
29.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 614s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.97
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)53.4%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 9:12:51 PM7 trades$1,2049 min
3/31/2026, 7:40:15 PM26 trades$1,0256 min
4/15/2026, 3:33:48 AM30 trades$8123 min
4/9/2026, 4:55:27 PM29 trades$5529 min
3/9/2026, 10:08:19 PM9 trades$42713 min
3/7/2026, 9:50:37 AM5 trades$3901 min
4/15/2026, 8:57:02 PM2 trades$2860 min
3/6/2026, 3:07:59 PM2 trades$2850 min
1/17/2026, 12:31:44 PM7 trades$22015 min
3/8/2026, 9:29:07 PM2 trades$2003 min
3/8/2026, 5:28:31 PM3 trades$1632 min
3/3/2026, 8:47:15 PM3 trades$1565 min
6/24/2026, 4:00:11 PM4 trades$1430 min
3/11/2026, 10:37:07 PM6 trades$1355 min
8/23/2025, 2:43:47 PM5 trades$1187 min
8/28/2025, 9:19:55 AM1 trades$1140 min
3/25/2026, 4:22:27 PM22 trades$1085 min
4/24/2026, 2:15:54 PM7 trades$1031 min
3/10/2026, 8:17:01 PM7 trades$10211 min
3/3/2026, 8:57:45 PM5 trades$10110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
10-23
11-30
01-11
02-18
03-29
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 106 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.8 / M11.9 / H53.4