@LunaByte

#2,915,52714

0x2947603d7f0b54a12edf459cc45f36016c039ded

~20d· 140 markets · 525 tradesVol: $50,1392026-08-04 21:49:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (57/140)5.4/20
0.38x (win $848 / loss $2,227)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6060/15
Sortino -7.2580/10
$-0.2449 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1630 (140 markets)4.4/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,378 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#296,757$-753Vol: $47,274
CRYPTO#1,516,616$-159Vol: $1,449
🏛️ POLITICS#893,513$-1Vol: $1,000
💰 FINANCE#504,059$-2Vol: $417

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,139
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
140
total markets
Trades
161B / 364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
57W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-914
Win Rate
41%
57W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $335 (0.36669620100854305% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?$214
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$67
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?$26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$16

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-853
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$-190
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11?$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.385
Sortino
-0.346
HHI
887
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.245
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
58.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 597s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)52.8%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 2:11:19 PM11 trades$17,7081 min
6/11/2026, 2:26:13 PM19 trades$6,3080 min
6/13/2026, 4:57:16 AM4 trades$2,0000 min
6/13/2026, 5:09:28 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/13/2026, 10:04:56 AM13 trades$9590 min
7/10/2026, 3:29:02 PM5 trades$5810 min
7/11/2026, 1:04:23 PM3 trades$5810 min
6/27/2026, 6:20:31 AM8 trades$4270 min
6/12/2026, 2:34:27 PM14 trades$4170 min
6/19/2026, 9:36:32 AM12 trades$4102 min
6/12/2026, 6:42:57 AM5 trades$3410 min
6/27/2026, 9:56:19 AM9 trades$2970 min
6/28/2026, 1:42:35 AM2 trades$2970 min
6/26/2026, 10:38:01 AM4 trades$2940 min
6/13/2026, 6:55:45 AM2 trades$2520 min
6/13/2026, 3:59:55 AM15 trades$2284 min
6/12/2026, 1:14:36 AM7 trades$1960 min
6/5/2026, 6:56:18 AM11 trades$1796 min
6/14/2026, 1:16:31 AM8 trades$1570 min
6/18/2026, 2:25:10 AM2 trades$1420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-07
06-12
06-14
06-18
06-20
06-28
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M39.1 / H52.8