@Lupton
#2,440,328230x0f2d8fc7f82946cae54cb237ec70185b0c538991
~10d· 13 markets · 49 tradesVol: $14,6972026-08-05 16:43:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (5/9)12.8/20
0.47x (win $165 / loss $350)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0592 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2301 (9 markets)1/10
4/6 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 2237% of peak ($350 / $16)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Consistent
4/6 profitable days
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#963,465$-2Vol: $10,992
⚽ SPORTS#1,628,799$-66Vol: $3,705
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,697
Total Redeem
$290
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
31B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
5W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-67
Win Rate
56%
5W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-88
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129 (1.9193860825510356% of PnL)
Top Winners
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$60
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)$45
Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)$24
Spread: Israel (-2.5)$20
Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)$16
Top Losers
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-176
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$-60
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$-58
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$-57
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.224
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
1840
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.069
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.3%
Top-5 markets
76.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)63% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)58.1%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 2:22:51 AM8 trades$1,3434 min
7/22/2026, 4:33:51 AM3 trades$9270 min
7/7/2026, 9:09:02 AM4 trades$9160 min
5/9/2026, 5:14:00 AM2 trades$5900 min
5/9/2026, 6:22:27 AM2 trades$5900 min
5/9/2026, 6:14:05 AM1 trades$5690 min
4/9/2026, 7:34:59 AM2 trades$2900 min
4/9/2026, 5:40:07 AM2 trades$2890 min
4/9/2026, 7:26:23 AM1 trades$2820 min
5/21/2026, 4:57:03 AM2 trades$2580 min
6/4/2026, 6:35:51 AM2 trades$2300 min
6/3/2026, 9:33:19 AM2 trades$2100 min
5/7/2026, 5:18:55 AM5 trades$854 min
5/8/2026, 1:40:16 AM2 trades$580 min
5/20/2026, 6:06:04 AM2 trades$350 min
7/7/2026, 8:37:20 AM2 trades$330 min
5/7/2026, 4:00:43 AM2 trades$290 min
7/22/2026, 3:21:39 AM2 trades$290 min
5/8/2026, 1:11:34 AM3 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
05-07
05-08
05-09
06-03
06-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.9 / M0 / H58.1