@MRS.ESC

#2,864,94410

0x186cb988d9e52f3273c7b739c8b8877d537311ce

~14d· 32 markets · 200 tradesVol: $19,6032026-08-04 20:20:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (6/32)0/20
0.49x (win $966 / loss $1,976)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3070/15
Sortino -6.2640/10
$-0.3043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 742 (32 markets)8.8/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 661% of peak ($1,255 / $190)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#795,457$-207Vol: $11,164
⚽ SPORTS#1,778,045$-355Vol: $8,439

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-562
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,603
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
66B / 134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
6W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-562
Win Rate
19%
6W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$161
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $830 (1.4784752884204533% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$423
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$279
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$128
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$65
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$37
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$33

Top Losers

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-662
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-323
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-165
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-137
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-112
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-90
Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-90
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$-89
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-83
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.315
Sortino
-0.296
HHI
1299
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.273
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
67.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 530s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 12:02:01 AM8 trades$1,1084 min
5/6/2026, 11:53:32 PM2 trades$7500 min
5/8/2026, 8:24:17 PM22 trades$6887 min
5/15/2026, 5:23:44 PM13 trades$6334 min
5/10/2026, 11:23:37 AM8 trades$5155 min
5/14/2026, 7:05:20 PM5 trades$4600 min
5/16/2026, 11:32:50 PM2 trades$4560 min
6/30/2026, 12:16:50 PM7 trades$4432 min
5/10/2026, 6:13:00 PM13 trades$3943 min
5/14/2026, 7:14:10 PM9 trades$3120 min
5/15/2026, 1:07:23 AM3 trades$3030 min
5/13/2026, 12:20:41 AM7 trades$2713 min
5/6/2026, 6:34:58 PM6 trades$2693 min
5/10/2026, 10:34:55 AM1 trades$2240 min
5/6/2026, 5:34:11 PM3 trades$2023 min
5/10/2026, 11:15:18 AM6 trades$1750 min
5/10/2026, 1:39:04 AM6 trades$1674 min
5/6/2026, 10:00:36 PM2 trades$1560 min
5/6/2026, 5:52:16 PM9 trades$1510 min
5/15/2026, 12:16:59 AM7 trades$1211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-07
05-08
05-10
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-17
05-22
06-16
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.8 / M19.7 / H45.5