@MacroEdge

#285,04434

0x1607427e18a2f3e9e9a5c3102734af426cbddf82

~31d· 47 markets · 110 tradesVol: $17,1432026-08-04 21:04:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (8/40)0/20
1.33x (win $348 / loss $263)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.52615/15
Sortino 5.65210/10
$+0.0416 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 2577 (40 markets)0/10
6/21 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 103% of peak ($112 / $109)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+65
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,639,798$-73Vol: $12,444
📈 ECONOMICS#10,933$125Vol: $2,859
🏛️ POLITICS#1,157,276$-5Vol: $870
🎭 CULTURE#42,065$27Vol: $837
₿ CRYPTO#1,183,045$-12Vol: $90
📢 MENTIONS#31,029$3Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$65
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,143
Total Redeem
$47
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
66B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$65
Vol: $17,143

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
8W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$65
Win Rate
20%
8W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $319 (4.877007801743918% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$230
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$49
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$40
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?$14
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,500 on March 8?$4
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$-60
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?$-20
Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?$-10
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-10
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.078
Sortino
0.496
HHI
3558
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43%
Top-5 markets
108.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 760s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)21.2%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 5:14:56 PM12 trades$1,2422 min
3/18/2026, 11:36:39 AM2 trades$1,0291 min
4/1/2026, 12:34:09 PM10 trades$4524 min
3/18/2026, 7:35:33 PM3 trades$2250 min
3/5/2026, 2:36:47 PM3 trades$1408 min
3/8/2026, 12:28:43 AM1 trades$1400 min
3/4/2026, 6:21:07 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/18/2026, 1:47:11 PM1 trades$840 min
3/31/2025, 4:06:09 PM1 trades$830 min
3/31/2026, 2:26:09 PM1 trades$830 min
3/31/2026, 3:17:35 AM1 trades$820 min
3/30/2026, 2:57:51 PM1 trades$800 min
3/13/2026, 5:34:49 PM1 trades$560 min
4/9/2026, 11:50:11 PM1 trades$510 min
3/18/2026, 7:00:33 PM1 trades$500 min
3/8/2026, 1:08:03 PM1 trades$300 min
3/18/2026, 1:26:31 PM3 trades$292 min
4/12/2026, 3:05:05 PM2 trades$280 min
3/25/2026, 9:06:45 PM2 trades$250 min
3/9/2026, 2:33:09 AM1 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-09
03-12
03-20
03-28
04-10
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.6 / M18.2 / H21.2