@Mancha
#2,320,656110x06160312b74b3978c24ab0293ab26a15702aea27
~60d· 170 markets · 574 tradesVol: $41,4442026-08-04 19:09:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
28% (46/164)0/20
0.76x (win $1,100 / loss $1,444)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6310/15
Sortino -1.9350/10
$-0.1430 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 552 (164 markets)9.7/10
19/54 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($769 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#7,220$96Vol: $33,782
🏛️ POLITICS#96,183$44Vol: $3,673
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,173$-115Vol: $3,338
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,444
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
170
total markets
Trades
232B / 342S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d
Periods
#2Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $787
Month
$-17
Vol: $1,155
All Time
$-45
Vol: $41,444
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
28%
46W / 118L events
Realized PnL
$-45
Win Rate
28%
46W / 118L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $558 (12.353331857427495% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$260
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$181
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$117
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$42
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$24
Top Losers
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-400
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$-200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-200
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$-42
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.081
HHI
2000
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.2%
Top-5 markets
84.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 4.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)24.6%
Sessions
#125/10/2026, 9:47:49 PM2 trades$8410 min
7/8/2026, 11:20:40 AM14 trades$5624 min
6/9/2026, 9:03:30 PM34 trades$4593 min
5/10/2026, 8:32:16 PM2 trades$4210 min
5/3/2026, 6:30:34 AM9 trades$4030 min
3/30/2026, 10:02:51 PM2 trades$2811 min
7/14/2026, 2:41:59 PM10 trades$2093 min
4/22/2026, 9:38:48 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/14/2026, 5:35:08 PM3 trades$2000 min
7/20/2026, 3:16:40 PM3 trades$1670 min
6/29/2026, 11:46:07 AM2 trades$1320 min
7/20/2026, 1:24:40 PM6 trades$1243 min
4/26/2026, 7:18:30 PM2 trades$1200 min
5/11/2026, 11:49:27 AM2 trades$1110 min
6/14/2026, 4:27:36 PM4 trades$1082 min
6/29/2026, 2:59:37 PM13 trades$1055 min
3/18/2026, 9:54:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/26/2026, 9:42:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/11/2026, 11:47:17 AM5 trades$953 min
7/16/2026, 12:15:10 PM4 trades$830 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
05-06
06-14
06-23
07-08
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.7 / M32.8 / H24.6