@Mandeville

#2,263,97363

0x791b7ccb0708d3d728dc547a0678e2257589a88c

~12d· 18 markets · 63 tradesVol: $16,9272026-08-04 22:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (8/9)20/20
8.96x (win $485 / loss $54)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0441 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 1420 (9 markets)5.4/10
5/6 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($54 / $431)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Consistent
5/6 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#293,459$2Vol: $13,226
SPORTS#1,555,217$-38Vol: $3,701

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-37
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,927
Total Redeem
$210
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
38B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $52
All Time
$-37
Vol: $16,927

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
8W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-37
Win Rate
89%
8W / 1L
Profit Factor
8.96x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $317 (8.620445894507885% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?$159
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$92
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$66
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)$50
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?$38
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$30
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)$29
Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)$21

Top Losers

Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.831
Sortino
inf
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.090
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
37.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1628s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)81.6%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 3:13:54 AM4 trades$1,0300 min
5/16/2026, 7:09:56 AM6 trades$9701 min
5/21/2026, 5:58:25 AM2 trades$5400 min
5/25/2026, 2:41:14 AM2 trades$5300 min
5/25/2026, 5:49:18 AM2 trades$5040 min
5/21/2026, 6:39:20 AM1 trades$5020 min
5/8/2026, 3:07:18 AM2 trades$4900 min
7/18/2026, 1:22:54 AM2 trades$4840 min
7/18/2026, 2:50:43 AM2 trades$4830 min
5/8/2026, 5:28:59 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/25/2026, 5:35:55 AM2 trades$4770 min
5/8/2026, 5:08:01 AM1 trades$4680 min
7/11/2026, 4:48:50 AM2 trades$4600 min
7/18/2026, 1:54:48 AM1 trades$4550 min
7/18/2026, 3:28:06 AM1 trades$4540 min
6/23/2026, 6:38:19 AM2 trades$4400 min
7/11/2026, 1:43:35 AM2 trades$4400 min
7/11/2026, 5:41:41 AM1 trades$4280 min
7/11/2026, 2:25:17 AM1 trades$4270 min
6/23/2026, 7:10:47 AM1 trades$4090 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
05-08
05-16
05-25
06-16
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.4 / M0 / H81.6